{
 "slug": "which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-december-31",
 "title": "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-december-31/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-december-31",
 "category": "geopolitics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 825472.28,
 "volume_24h": 352.65,
 "liquidity": 382443.28,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Venezuela",
   "probability": 0.155,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 371816.47,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Lebanon",
   "probability": 0.11,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 118283.43,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Saudi Arabia",
   "probability": 0.0625,
   "change_24h": 0.006,
   "volume": 78863.53,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Tunisia",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 13689.8,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Syria",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 22409.85,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Pakistan",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 10173.93,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Iraq",
   "probability": 0.0435,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 15389.14,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Indonesia",
   "probability": 0.0425,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 25578.03,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Kuwait",
   "probability": 0.036,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 20905.99,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "North Korea",
   "probability": 0.0335,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume": 21615.9,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Cuba",
   "probability": 0.0335,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 15884.6,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Afghanistan",
   "probability": 0.0325,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 21362.8,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Iran",
   "probability": 0.0265,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 18132.53,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Qatar",
   "probability": 0.025,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 39250.85,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Malaysia",
   "probability": 0.025,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 14992.19,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Bangladesh",
   "probability": 0.0125,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 17123.25,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Venezuela": [
   [
    1788739234,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788782421,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788912025,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788955223,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789041620,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789084822,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789128024,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789171222,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789214424,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789257621,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789300824,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789473617,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789560027,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789603220,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789732824,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789776024,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789819224,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789862423,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789905620,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789948820,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790035220,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1790078420,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1790121622,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790164831,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790208033,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790251222,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790294425,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790467220,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790553634,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790640021,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790683223,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1790769622,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790812824,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790856023,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790899222,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790942422,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790985626,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791028823,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791072022,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791115224,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791158426,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791201626,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791244825,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791288029,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791291918,
    0.155
   ]
  ],
  "Lebanon": [
   [
    1788739232,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788782418,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788825615,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788868818,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788912023,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788955220,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789041618,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789084819,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789128021,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789171220,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789214420,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789257618,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789300822,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789430415,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789516816,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789560022,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789603217,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789646417,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789689620,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789732821,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789776021,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789819221,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789862420,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789905617,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789948817,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790035218,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790164824,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790294422,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790337618,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790899219,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1791244821,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1791291916,
    0.105
   ]
  ],
  "Saudi Arabia": [
   [
    1788739232,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788782419,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788868818,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1788912023,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1788955221,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1789041618,
    0.033
   ],
   [
    1789084820,
    0.0255
   ],
   [
    1789128021,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1789171220,
    0.031
   ],
   [
    1789214421,
    0.0305
   ],
   [
    1789257619,
    0.0305
   ],
   [
    1789300822,
    0.024
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.0225
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1789430415,
    0.0225
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.0235
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.0915
   ],
   [
    1789560023,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1789603218,
    0.0765
   ],
   [
    1789646417,
    0.0775
   ],
   [
    1789689621,
    0.0775
   ],
   [
    1789732821,
    0.0775
   ],
   [
    1789776021,
    0.0775
   ],
   [
    1789819221,
    0.074
   ],
   [
    1789862421,
    0.0735
   ],
   [
    1789905618,
    0.0735
   ],
   [
    1789948818,
    0.073
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.0725
   ],
   [
    1790035218,
    0.0725
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.0725
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.073
   ],
   [
    1790164826,
    0.073
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.0715
   ],
   [
    1790251220,
    0.072
   ],
   [
    1790294422,
    0.072
   ],
   [
    1790337618,
    0.0675
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.0675
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.0715
   ],
   [
    1790467218,
    0.072
   ],
   [
    1790510417,
    0.081
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.081
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.0845
   ],
   [
    1790640019,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.0845
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.0845
   ],
   [
    1790769620,
    0.0845
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.0605
   ],
   [
    1790899220,
    0.0625
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.0565
   ],
   [
    1790985623,
    0.064
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.0525
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.0565
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.0565
   ],
   [
    1791244822,
    0.063
   ],
   [
    1791288026,
    0.056
   ],
   [
    1791291916,
    0.059
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-december-31/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-december-31/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
