{
 "slug": "which-companys-ai-will-first-hit-1550-on-chatbot-arena-in-2026",
 "title": "Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-companys-ai-will-first-hit-1550-on-chatbot-arena-in-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-companys-ai-will-first-hit-1550-on-chatbot-arena-in-2026",
 "category": "tech",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 132168.82,
 "volume_24h": 1463.31,
 "liquidity": 19345.42,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "None in 2026",
   "probability": 0.76,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 27455.98,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Anthropic",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 19756.45,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Google",
   "probability": 0.11,
   "change_24h": 0.0115,
   "volume": 14255.06,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "OpenAI",
   "probability": 0.026,
   "change_24h": -0.006,
   "volume": 15958.11,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "xAI",
   "probability": 0.0045,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 10106.9,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Alibaba",
   "probability": 0.003,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 11422.55,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "DeepSeek",
   "probability": 0.0025,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 13832.1,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Z.ai",
   "probability": 0.0025,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 9907.94,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Mistral",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 9473.73,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "None in 2026": [
   [
    1788739234,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1788782423,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1788912026,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1788955224,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1789041621,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1789084823,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1789128025,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1789171223,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1789214425,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1789257622,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1789560029,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1789603221,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1789689624,
    0.81
   ],
   [
    1789732825,
    0.79
   ],
   [
    1789776025,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1789819226,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1789862424,
    0.76
   ],
   [
    1789905621,
    0.78
   ],
   [
    1789948821,
    0.78
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.785
   ],
   [
    1790035221,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1790078421,
    0.805
   ],
   [
    1790121623,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1790164833,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1790208034,
    0.805
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.84
   ],
   [
    1790294427,
    0.84
   ],
   [
    1790337621,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.84
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.845
   ],
   [
    1790467221,
    0.84
   ],
   [
    1790510420,
    0.84
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.845
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.84
   ],
   [
    1790640022,
    0.85
   ],
   [
    1790683224,
    0.845
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1790812825,
    0.735
   ],
   [
    1790856024,
    0.76
   ],
   [
    1790899223,
    0.76
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1790985627,
    0.775
   ],
   [
    1791028825,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1791072023,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1791115225,
    0.75
   ],
   [
    1791158428,
    0.75
   ],
   [
    1791201627,
    0.75
   ],
   [
    1791244826,
    0.77
   ],
   [
    1791288030,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1791291860,
    0.765
   ]
  ],
  "Anthropic": [
   [
    1788739233,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788782421,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1788912025,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788955223,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789041620,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789084822,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789128023,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789171222,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789214423,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789257621,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789300824,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789473617,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789560026,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789776024,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789819224,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1789862423,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789905620,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789948820,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790035220,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790078420,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790121622,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790164830,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790251222,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790294425,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790467220,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790640020,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790683223,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790769622,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790812824,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790856023,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790899222,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790942421,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790985625,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791028823,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791115224,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791158426,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791201625,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791244824,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791288028,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791291859,
    0.125
   ]
  ],
  "Google": [
   [
    1788739235,
    0.0145
   ],
   [
    1788782424,
    0.0145
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.013
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.013
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.0085
   ],
   [
    1788955225,
    0.0085
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1789084824,
    0.0115
   ],
   [
    1789128026,
    0.0115
   ],
   [
    1789171224,
    0.0115
   ],
   [
    1789214426,
    0.0115
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.0115
   ],
   [
    1789300826,
    0.0115
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.009
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.009
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.009
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.009
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.0085
   ],
   [
    1789560030,
    0.0085
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.0095
   ],
   [
    1789646421,
    0.0095
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.0095
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.0095
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.018
   ],
   [
    1789862425,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.017
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.0165
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.0155
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.0165
   ],
   [
    1790121624,
    0.0175
   ],
   [
    1790164835,
    0.016
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.0165
   ],
   [
    1790251224,
    0.0165
   ],
   [
    1790294428,
    0.016
   ],
   [
    1790337622,
    0.016
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.0165
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.0165
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.0165
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.0175
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.016
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.015
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.015
   ],
   [
    1790683225,
    0.015
   ],
   [
    1790726424,
    0.0165
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.0165
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.133
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.119
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.1195
   ],
   [
    1790985628,
    0.103
   ],
   [
    1791028826,
    0.1165
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.123
   ],
   [
    1791115226,
    0.114
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.1135
   ],
   [
    1791201629,
    0.099
   ],
   [
    1791244827,
    0.0955
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.102
   ],
   [
    1791291860,
    0.1025
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-companys-ai-will-first-hit-1550-on-chatbot-arena-in-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-companys-ai-will-first-hit-1550-on-chatbot-arena-in-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}