{
 "slug": "which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2026",
 "title": "Which company has best AI model end of 2026?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2026",
 "category": "tech",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-12-31T17:00:00+00:00",
 "volume": 2248639.83,
 "volume_24h": 122062.27,
 "liquidity": 1175210.25,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Anthropic",
   "probability": 0.48,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 312610.63,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Google",
   "probability": 0.395,
   "change_24h": -0.04,
   "volume": 222638.36,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "OpenAI",
   "probability": 0.0545,
   "change_24h": 0.003,
   "volume": 190481.79,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "xAI",
   "probability": 0.0145,
   "change_24h": 0.004,
   "volume": 156639.13,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Meta",
   "probability": 0.013,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 127963.89,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Mistral",
   "probability": 0.0085,
   "change_24h": 0.007,
   "volume": 186801.76,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Alibaba",
   "probability": 0.0045,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 135214.2,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "DeepSeek",
   "probability": 0.0035,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 133770.25,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Moonshot",
   "probability": 0.0025,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 131473.51,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Z.ai",
   "probability": 0.0025,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 119882.41,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "ByteDance",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 118589.7,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Baidu",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 107487.45,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Microsoft",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 104557.64,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Amazon",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 101799.32,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Meituan",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 98729.81,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Anthropic": [
   [
    1788739232,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1788782418,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.645
   ],
   [
    1788868818,
    0.645
   ],
   [
    1788912023,
    0.645
   ],
   [
    1788955221,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1789041618,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1789084820,
    0.63
   ],
   [
    1789128021,
    0.64
   ],
   [
    1789171220,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1789214421,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1789257618,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1789300822,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1789430415,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1789516816,
    0.72
   ],
   [
    1789560022,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1789603217,
    0.705
   ],
   [
    1789646417,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1789689621,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1789732821,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1789776021,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1789819221,
    0.73
   ],
   [
    1789862420,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1789905617,
    0.71
   ],
   [
    1789948817,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1790035218,
    0.705
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.705
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1790164825,
    0.735
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.735
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.735
   ],
   [
    1790294422,
    0.735
   ],
   [
    1790337618,
    0.735
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.735
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.74
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.74
   ],
   [
    1790510417,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.75
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.75
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.785
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.775
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1790899219,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1790985623,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1791244822,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1791291439,
    0.48
   ]
  ],
  "Google": [
   [
    1788739231,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788782418,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788825615,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788868818,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1788912023,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1788955220,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1789041618,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789084819,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1789128021,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1789171219,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789214420,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789257618,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789300822,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789430414,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789516816,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789560022,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789603217,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789646416,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789689620,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789732820,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1789776021,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1789819221,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789862420,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1789905617,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789948817,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790035217,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790164824,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790294422,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790337617,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.4
   ],
   [
    1790899219,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1791244821,
    0.41
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1791291439,
    0.395
   ]
  ],
  "OpenAI": [
   [
    1788739236,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1788782424,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1789084824,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1789128026,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1789171224,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1789214426,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789560031,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789646422,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1789862426,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790121625,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790164836,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790251225,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790294428,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790337623,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790683226,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.046
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.0335
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.0645
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.0675
   ],
   [
    1790985629,
    0.0635
   ],
   [
    1791028826,
    0.0675
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.0675
   ],
   [
    1791115227,
    0.0675
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.0675
   ],
   [
    1791201629,
    0.051
   ],
   [
    1791244828,
    0.052
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.0545
   ],
   [
    1791291441,
    0.0545
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
