{
 "slug": "which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government",
 "title": "Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 45439.6,
 "volume_24h": 3770.57,
 "liquidity": 285990.68,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "PSD + PNL + UDMR",
   "probability": 0.1865,
   "change_24h": 0.039,
   "volume": 10912.84,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PSD + UDMR",
   "probability": 0.119,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 4597.77,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PSD + PNL",
   "probability": 0.052,
   "change_24h": -0.012,
   "volume": 184.49,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PSD + PNL + USR",
   "probability": 0.05,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 284.52,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PNL + USR",
   "probability": 0.0495,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1089.08,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "AUR",
   "probability": 0.0485,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2867.12,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Other",
   "probability": 0.048,
   "change_24h": 0.0205,
   "volume": 5180.28,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PSD + USR + UDMR",
   "probability": 0.0475,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 522.87,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PSD",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": 0.0385,
   "volume": 2243.2,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PNL + USR + UDMR",
   "probability": 0.0405,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 736.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR",
   "probability": 0.036,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 439.86,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PSD + PNL + AUR",
   "probability": 0.036,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 138.47,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PNL",
   "probability": 0.034,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 488.54,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR",
   "probability": 0.0265,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 567.82,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PSD + PNL + USR + AUR",
   "probability": 0.0265,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 501.24,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PSD + USR + UDMR + AUR",
   "probability": 0.0265,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 469.34,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "UDMR",
   "probability": 0.022,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2197.59,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "UDMR + AUR",
   "probability": 0.0215,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 685.87,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PSD + USR",
   "probability": 0.0215,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 549.35,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PNL + UDMR",
   "probability": 0.0215,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 377.69,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PSD + AUR",
   "probability": 0.021,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3532.7,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PNL + UDMR + AUR",
   "probability": 0.015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 521.27,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PNL + AUR",
   "probability": 0.013,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 481.86,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "USR",
   "probability": 0.0115,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1741.13,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR",
   "probability": 0.011,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 392.34,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PSD + UDMR + AUR",
   "probability": 0.011,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 388.6,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "USR + UDMR + AUR",
   "probability": 0.0105,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 631.32,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PSD + PNL + UDMR + AUR",
   "probability": 0.0105,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 418.22,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PNL + USR + AUR",
   "probability": 0.01,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 370.84,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "USR + AUR",
   "probability": 0.009,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 717.13,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "PSD + USR + AUR",
   "probability": 0.0075,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 371.61,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "USR + UDMR",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 838.63,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "PSD + PNL + UDMR": [
   [
    1788739233,
    0.224
   ],
   [
    1788782421,
    0.2255
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.226
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.2255
   ],
   [
    1788912025,
    0.226
   ],
   [
    1788955222,
    0.304
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.3145
   ],
   [
    1789041620,
    0.3265
   ],
   [
    1789084821,
    0.322
   ],
   [
    1789128023,
    0.173
   ],
   [
    1789171222,
    0.1745
   ],
   [
    1789214423,
    0.178
   ],
   [
    1789257620,
    0.1755
   ],
   [
    1789300824,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.1455
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.1355
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.132
   ],
   [
    1789473617,
    0.1345
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789560026,
    0.1255
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.1255
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.2195
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.131
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.1245
   ],
   [
    1789776023,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789819224,
    0.1155
   ],
   [
    1789862422,
    0.1145
   ],
   [
    1789905619,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789948819,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790035220,
    0.1885
   ],
   [
    1790078419,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790121621,
    0.1475
   ],
   [
    1790164829,
    0.1475
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.1535
   ],
   [
    1790251221,
    0.153
   ],
   [
    1790294424,
    0.1535
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.153
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.1465
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.1475
   ],
   [
    1790467219,
    0.1465
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.146
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.142
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.146
   ],
   [
    1790640020,
    0.1545
   ],
   [
    1790683222,
    0.144
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.1445
   ],
   [
    1790769621,
    0.1455
   ],
   [
    1790812823,
    0.147
   ],
   [
    1790856022,
    0.1465
   ],
   [
    1790899221,
    0.1465
   ],
   [
    1790942421,
    0.1465
   ],
   [
    1790985625,
    0.1465
   ],
   [
    1791028822,
    0.1465
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.146
   ],
   [
    1791115223,
    0.141
   ],
   [
    1791158426,
    0.141
   ],
   [
    1791201625,
    0.1475
   ],
   [
    1791244824,
    0.1745
   ],
   [
    1791288028,
    0.1865
   ],
   [
    1791291795,
    0.1865
   ]
  ],
  "PSD + UDMR": [
   [
    1788739232,
    0.2035
   ],
   [
    1788782419,
    0.1935
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.1945
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.1905
   ],
   [
    1788912024,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1788955221,
    0.1455
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.1485
   ],
   [
    1789041619,
    0.137
   ],
   [
    1789084820,
    0.1435
   ],
   [
    1789128022,
    0.147
   ],
   [
    1789171221,
    0.144
   ],
   [
    1789214422,
    0.2035
   ],
   [
    1789257619,
    0.1675
   ],
   [
    1789300823,
    0.1495
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.164
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.1795
   ],
   [
    1789430415,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789473616,
    0.182
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.162
   ],
   [
    1789560024,
    0.1615
   ],
   [
    1789603218,
    0.1615
   ],
   [
    1789646418,
    0.1635
   ],
   [
    1789689621,
    0.171
   ],
   [
    1789732822,
    0.1175
   ],
   [
    1789776022,
    0.121
   ],
   [
    1789819222,
    0.093
   ],
   [
    1789862421,
    0.0745
   ],
   [
    1789905618,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1789948818,
    0.079
   ],
   [
    1789992014,
    0.066
   ],
   [
    1790035219,
    0.083
   ],
   [
    1790078418,
    0.0655
   ],
   [
    1790121620,
    0.066
   ],
   [
    1790164827,
    0.066
   ],
   [
    1790208031,
    0.0895
   ],
   [
    1790251220,
    0.0635
   ],
   [
    1790294423,
    0.0655
   ],
   [
    1790337619,
    0.0655
   ],
   [
    1790380819,
    0.0675
   ],
   [
    1790424018,
    0.0675
   ],
   [
    1790467218,
    0.0675
   ],
   [
    1790510418,
    0.092
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.097
   ],
   [
    1790596818,
    0.1005
   ],
   [
    1790640019,
    0.117
   ],
   [
    1790683221,
    0.1165
   ],
   [
    1790726421,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790769620,
    0.1265
   ],
   [
    1790812822,
    0.1185
   ],
   [
    1790856021,
    0.1185
   ],
   [
    1790899220,
    0.1185
   ],
   [
    1790942420,
    0.1185
   ],
   [
    1790985624,
    0.1185
   ],
   [
    1791028821,
    0.1185
   ],
   [
    1791072020,
    0.1185
   ],
   [
    1791115222,
    0.114
   ],
   [
    1791158424,
    0.1145
   ],
   [
    1791201623,
    0.118
   ],
   [
    1791244823,
    0.122
   ],
   [
    1791288027,
    0.1185
   ],
   [
    1791291794,
    0.119
   ]
  ],
  "PSD + PNL": [
   [
    1788739233,
    0.0205
   ],
   [
    1788782421,
    0.0205
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.0205
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.0205
   ],
   [
    1788912025,
    0.021
   ],
   [
    1788955223,
    0.021
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.021
   ],
   [
    1789041620,
    0.0205
   ],
   [
    1789084821,
    0.021
   ],
   [
    1789128023,
    0.021
   ],
   [
    1789171222,
    0.021
   ],
   [
    1789214423,
    0.021
   ],
   [
    1789257620,
    0.021
   ],
   [
    1789300824,
    0.0205
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.021
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.021
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.021
   ],
   [
    1789473617,
    0.021
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.0205
   ],
   [
    1789560026,
    0.0205
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.0205
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.133
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.152
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.1025
   ],
   [
    1789776024,
    0.157
   ],
   [
    1789819224,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1789862423,
    0.0405
   ],
   [
    1789905619,
    0.364
   ],
   [
    1789948819,
    0.0605
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.0605
   ],
   [
    1790035220,
    0.0605
   ],
   [
    1790078419,
    0.0615
   ],
   [
    1790121621,
    0.0615
   ],
   [
    1790164829,
    0.0565
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.0575
   ],
   [
    1790251222,
    0.0425
   ],
   [
    1790294425,
    0.057
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.057
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.062
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.064
   ],
   [
    1790467219,
    0.0625
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.0625
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.064
   ],
   [
    1790640020,
    0.059
   ],
   [
    1790683222,
    0.064
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.062
   ],
   [
    1790769621,
    0.0585
   ],
   [
    1790812823,
    0.0515
   ],
   [
    1790856022,
    0.0415
   ],
   [
    1790899222,
    0.0615
   ],
   [
    1790942421,
    0.066
   ],
   [
    1790985625,
    0.067
   ],
   [
    1791028823,
    0.066
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.064
   ],
   [
    1791115223,
    0.062
   ],
   [
    1791158426,
    0.061
   ],
   [
    1791201625,
    0.063
   ],
   [
    1791244824,
    0.053
   ],
   [
    1791288028,
    0.052
   ],
   [
    1791291795,
    0.052
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
