{
 "slug": "which-coalition-will-form-the-next-new-zealand-government",
 "title": "Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-new-zealand-government/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-new-zealand-government",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-08T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 57530.59,
 "volume_24h": 31.13,
 "liquidity": 378045.86,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "National + ACT + NZF",
   "probability": 0.455,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 10184.32,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Labour + Green",
   "probability": 0.279,
   "change_24h": 0.0305,
   "volume": 5008.44,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Labour + Green + Maori",
   "probability": 0.175,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 5285.53,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Other",
   "probability": 0.07,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 14704.18,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Labour + Green + NZF",
   "probability": 0.0095,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1719.12,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Labour + Green + Maori + NZF",
   "probability": 0.0085,
   "change_24h": 0.0035,
   "volume": 2047.3,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Labour + Maori",
   "probability": 0.0085,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 1479.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "National + Labour",
   "probability": 0.007,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 1471.77,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "National + NZF",
   "probability": 0.006,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1932.54,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "National + ACT",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2230.1,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Labour",
   "probability": 0.0025,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1523.6,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "National + ACT + NZF + Maori",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1527.32,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Labour + Maori + NZF",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1438.27,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Labour + NZF",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1435.78,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "National + ACT + Maori",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1430.85,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "National + Maori",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1420.92,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "National",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1346.48,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "National + NZF + Maori",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1345.08,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "National + ACT + NZF": [
   [
    1788739234,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1788782423,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1788912026,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1788955224,
    0.48
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1789041621,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1789084823,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1789128025,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1789171223,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1789214425,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1789257622,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1789560029,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1789603221,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1789689624,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1789732825,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1789776025,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1789819226,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1789862424,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789905621,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789948821,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1790035221,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1790078421,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790121623,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790164833,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1790208034,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790294427,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790337621,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1790467221,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1790640022,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1790683224,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790812825,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1790856024,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1790899223,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1790985627,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1791028825,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1791072023,
    0.48
   ],
   [
    1791115225,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1791158428,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1791201627,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1791244826,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1791288030,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1791292161,
    0.455
   ]
  ],
  "Labour + Green": [
   [
    1788739234,
    0.2215
   ],
   [
    1788782422,
    0.217
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.2125
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.2125
   ],
   [
    1788912026,
    0.212
   ],
   [
    1788955224,
    0.2175
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.2215
   ],
   [
    1789041621,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1789084822,
    0.2025
   ],
   [
    1789128024,
    0.208
   ],
   [
    1789171223,
    0.1905
   ],
   [
    1789214424,
    0.186
   ],
   [
    1789257621,
    0.1865
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.186
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.1875
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.1915
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.1905
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.1915
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.1885
   ],
   [
    1789560028,
    0.2055
   ],
   [
    1789603220,
    0.196
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.192
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.192
   ],
   [
    1789732824,
    0.1925
   ],
   [
    1789776025,
    0.191
   ],
   [
    1789819225,
    0.192
   ],
   [
    1789862424,
    0.1925
   ],
   [
    1789905621,
    0.193
   ],
   [
    1789948820,
    0.192
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.192
   ],
   [
    1790035221,
    0.192
   ],
   [
    1790078421,
    0.192
   ],
   [
    1790121623,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790164832,
    0.279
   ],
   [
    1790208033,
    0.268
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.2545
   ],
   [
    1790294426,
    0.2785
   ],
   [
    1790337621,
    0.254
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.247
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.226
   ],
   [
    1790467220,
    0.244
   ],
   [
    1790510420,
    0.2325
   ],
   [
    1790553634,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.2705
   ],
   [
    1790640021,
    0.248
   ],
   [
    1790683224,
    0.2865
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.241
   ],
   [
    1790812825,
    0.2585
   ],
   [
    1790856024,
    0.281
   ],
   [
    1790899223,
    0.2815
   ],
   [
    1790942422,
    0.278
   ],
   [
    1790985626,
    0.2655
   ],
   [
    1791028824,
    0.283
   ],
   [
    1791072022,
    0.271
   ],
   [
    1791115225,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1791158427,
    0.2575
   ],
   [
    1791201627,
    0.2495
   ],
   [
    1791244825,
    0.292
   ],
   [
    1791288030,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791292161,
    0.279
   ]
  ],
  "Labour + Green + Maori": [
   [
    1788739230,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1788782416,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1788825614,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788868817,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1788912021,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788955218,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1788998416,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789041616,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789084817,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1789128018,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789171217,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1789214418,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1789257616,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1789300820,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789344014,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1789387213,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789430413,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789473614,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789516815,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1789560018,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1789603215,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1789646415,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1789689618,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789732818,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789776018,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789819218,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789862418,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789905615,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789948814,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1789992011,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790035215,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790078415,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790121616,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790164819,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790208027,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790251216,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790294419,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1790337616,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1790380816,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790424015,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790467215,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790510415,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790553630,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790596815,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790640016,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790683218,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790726418,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790769617,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790812819,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790856017,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790899217,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790942417,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790985620,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791028817,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791072017,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791115218,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791158420,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791201619,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791244819,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791288022,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791292158,
    0.175
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-new-zealand-government/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-new-zealand-government/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
