{
 "slug": "which-artists-will-have-a-billboard-1-song-this-year",
 "title": "Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-artists-will-have-a-billboard-1-song-this-year/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-artists-will-have-a-billboard-1-song-this-year",
 "category": "culture",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-02T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 181526.56,
 "volume_24h": 121.23,
 "liquidity": 5273.73,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Bad Bunny",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.011,
   "volume": 29575.46,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Drake",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 9029.44,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Harry Styles",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.0595,
   "volume": 6822.19,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Ariana Grande",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.019,
   "volume": 4228.78,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Olivia Rodrigo",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.3425,
   "volume": 949.11,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Mariah Carey",
   "probability": 0.9565,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 6233.98,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Morgan Wallen",
   "probability": 0.265,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 507.62,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Post Malone",
   "probability": 0.235,
   "change_24h": 0.06,
   "volume": 1594.18,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Kendrick Lamar",
   "probability": 0.215,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 5811.13,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Sabrina Carpenter",
   "probability": 0.2,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2445.91,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Peso Pluma",
   "probability": 0.19,
   "change_24h": 0.1,
   "volume": 50.68,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "SZA",
   "probability": 0.14,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 1328.75,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "The Weeknd",
   "probability": 0.135,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 6161.23,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Ed Sheeran",
   "probability": 0.133,
   "change_24h": 0.0115,
   "volume": 808.61,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Travis Scott",
   "probability": 0.12,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume": 5682.77,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Future",
   "probability": 0.1165,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume": 7051.98,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Luke Combs",
   "probability": 0.115,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 3080.72,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Rihanna",
   "probability": 0.11,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 2184.86,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Lil Baby",
   "probability": 0.1075,
   "change_24h": -0.057,
   "volume": 1145.23,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Doja Cat",
   "probability": 0.102,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume": 11567.25,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Frank Ocean",
   "probability": 0.083,
   "change_24h": -0.022,
   "volume": 9405.55,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Tyler, The Creator",
   "probability": 0.08,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume": 742.64,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Zach Bryan",
   "probability": 0.0695,
   "change_24h": 0.0015,
   "volume": 1402.16,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Jack Harlow",
   "probability": 0.0555,
   "change_24h": 0.024,
   "volume": 9406.96,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Playboi Carti",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": 0.0055,
   "volume": 9594.47,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Billie Eilish",
   "probability": 0.034,
   "change_24h": -0.016,
   "volume": 41751.42,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "A$AP Rocky",
   "probability": 0.0335,
   "change_24h": 0.002,
   "volume": 2097.13,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Kanye West",
   "probability": 0.0295,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 866.35,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Mariah Carey": [
   [
    1788739234,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1788782423,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.984
   ],
   [
    1788912026,
    0.9835
   ],
   [
    1788955224,
    0.978
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.9835
   ],
   [
    1789041621,
    0.98
   ],
   [
    1789084823,
    0.9795
   ],
   [
    1789128025,
    0.985
   ],
   [
    1789171223,
    0.9875
   ],
   [
    1789214425,
    0.9885
   ],
   [
    1789257622,
    0.988
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.9885
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.988
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.988
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.987
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.983
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.984
   ],
   [
    1789560028,
    0.984
   ],
   [
    1789603221,
    0.984
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.985
   ],
   [
    1789689624,
    0.9995
   ],
   [
    1789732825,
    0.985
   ],
   [
    1789776025,
    0.985
   ],
   [
    1789819226,
    0.985
   ],
   [
    1789862424,
    0.985
   ],
   [
    1789905621,
    0.985
   ],
   [
    1789948821,
    0.985
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.985
   ],
   [
    1790035221,
    0.985
   ],
   [
    1790078421,
    0.985
   ],
   [
    1790121623,
    0.985
   ],
   [
    1790164833,
    0.9855
   ],
   [
    1790208034,
    0.985
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.985
   ],
   [
    1790294427,
    0.985
   ],
   [
    1790337621,
    0.985
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.985
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.985
   ],
   [
    1790467221,
    0.985
   ],
   [
    1790510420,
    0.9885
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.987
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.987
   ],
   [
    1790640022,
    0.987
   ],
   [
    1790683224,
    0.9285
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.9155
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.9385
   ],
   [
    1790812825,
    0.955
   ],
   [
    1790856024,
    0.9525
   ],
   [
    1790899223,
    0.9625
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.9565
   ],
   [
    1790985627,
    0.957
   ],
   [
    1791028824,
    0.9555
   ],
   [
    1791072022,
    0.955
   ],
   [
    1791115225,
    0.955
   ],
   [
    1791158428,
    0.955
   ],
   [
    1791201627,
    0.9565
   ],
   [
    1791244826,
    0.9565
   ],
   [
    1791288030,
    0.9565
   ],
   [
    1791292343,
    0.9565
   ]
  ],
  "Morgan Wallen": [
   [
    1788739231,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1788782417,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1788825615,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1788868817,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1788912022,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1788955219,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1788998417,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789041617,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789084818,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789128020,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789171219,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789214419,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789257617,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789300821,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789344015,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789430414,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1789473614,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789516815,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789560020,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1789603216,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1789646416,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789689619,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789732820,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789776020,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789819220,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1789862419,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789905616,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1789948816,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790035216,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790078416,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790121618,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790164822,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790208029,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790251218,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790294421,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790337617,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790380817,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790424016,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790467216,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790596816,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790640017,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790683219,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790769618,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790812820,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790856018,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790899218,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790942418,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790985621,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1791028818,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1791072018,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791115220,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791158421,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791201620,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791244820,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791288024,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791292339,
    0.265
   ]
  ],
  "Post Malone": [
   [
    1788739234,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788782422,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1788912026,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1788955224,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1789041621,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1789084822,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1789128024,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1789171223,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1789214424,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789257621,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1789560028,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789603220,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1789732824,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1789776025,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1789819225,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1789862424,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1789905621,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1789948820,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790035221,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1790078421,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790121623,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790164832,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790208033,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790294426,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790337621,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790467220,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790510420,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790553634,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790640021,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790683224,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790812825,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790856024,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790899223,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790942422,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790985626,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791028824,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791072022,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791115225,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791158427,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791201627,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791244825,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791288030,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791292342,
    0.175
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-artists-will-have-a-billboard-1-song-this-year/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-artists-will-have-a-billboard-1-song-this-year/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}