{
 "slug": "what-will-the-peak-roni-be-for-the-2026-27-el-nino",
 "title": "What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/what-will-the-peak-roni-be-for-the-2026-27-el-nino/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-peak-roni-be-for-the-2026-27-el-nino-1786975502957",
 "category": "other",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-04-01T03:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 69283.62,
 "volume_24h": 3404.24,
 "liquidity": 10886.43,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Over 2.5",
   "probability": 0.735,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 30739.38,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "2.25–2.5",
   "probability": 0.26,
   "change_24h": 0.04,
   "volume": 30202.99,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "2.0–2.25",
   "probability": 0.0205,
   "change_24h": -0.0065,
   "volume": 3703.05,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "1.5–2.0",
   "probability": 0.006,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume": 3051.83,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Under 1.5",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume": 1586.37,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Over 2.5": [
   [
    1788739227,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1788782412,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1788825612,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1788868813,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1788912018,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1788955214,
    0.585
   ],
   [
    1788998414,
    0.585
   ],
   [
    1789041613,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1789084814,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1789128015,
    0.665
   ],
   [
    1789171214,
    0.665
   ],
   [
    1789214414,
    0.665
   ],
   [
    1789257613,
    0.64
   ],
   [
    1789300817,
    0.64
   ],
   [
    1789344012,
    0.635
   ],
   [
    1789387212,
    0.635
   ],
   [
    1789430412,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1789473612,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789516813,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1789560012,
    0.63
   ],
   [
    1789603212,
    0.7
   ],
   [
    1789646412,
    0.7
   ],
   [
    1789689615,
    0.705
   ],
   [
    1789732814,
    0.705
   ],
   [
    1789776015,
    0.705
   ],
   [
    1789819215,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1789862415,
    0.73
   ],
   [
    1789905612,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1789948812,
    0.75
   ],
   [
    1789992010,
    0.78
   ],
   [
    1790035213,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1790078412,
    0.775
   ],
   [
    1790121613,
    0.78
   ],
   [
    1790164814,
    0.78
   ],
   [
    1790208025,
    0.78
   ],
   [
    1790251213,
    0.78
   ],
   [
    1790294416,
    0.77
   ],
   [
    1790337615,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1790380816,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1790424014,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1790467214,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1790510413,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1790553628,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1790596814,
    0.73
   ],
   [
    1790640015,
    0.7
   ],
   [
    1790683217,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1790726417,
    0.775
   ],
   [
    1790769616,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1790812818,
    0.76
   ],
   [
    1790856016,
    0.76
   ],
   [
    1790899216,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1790942416,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1790985619,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1791028816,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1791072016,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1791115218,
    0.74
   ],
   [
    1791158419,
    0.74
   ],
   [
    1791201618,
    0.74
   ],
   [
    1791244818,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1791288022,
    0.735
   ],
   [
    1791291793,
    0.735
   ]
  ],
  "2.25–2.5": [
   [
    1788739230,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1788782416,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1788825614,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1788868817,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1788912021,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1788955218,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1788998416,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1789041616,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1789084817,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1789128018,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1789171217,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1789214418,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1789257616,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1789300820,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1789344014,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1789387213,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1789430413,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789473614,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789516815,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1789560018,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1789603215,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1789646415,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1789689618,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789732818,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789776018,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1789819218,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789862418,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1789905615,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1789948815,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790035215,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790078415,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790121616,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790164820,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790208028,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790251217,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790294419,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790337616,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790380816,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790424015,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790467215,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790510415,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790553630,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1790596815,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790640016,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790683218,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790726418,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790769617,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790812819,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790856018,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790899217,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790942417,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790985621,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791028818,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791072017,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791115219,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791158420,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791201619,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791244819,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1791288022,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1791291793,
    0.26
   ]
  ],
  "2.0–2.25": [
   [
    1788739227,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1788782412,
    0.0575
   ],
   [
    1788825612,
    0.0575
   ],
   [
    1788868813,
    0.061
   ],
   [
    1788912018,
    0.0595
   ],
   [
    1788955214,
    0.083
   ],
   [
    1788998414,
    0.0905
   ],
   [
    1789041613,
    0.072
   ],
   [
    1789084814,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1789128015,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1789171214,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1789214414,
    0.0365
   ],
   [
    1789257613,
    0.043
   ],
   [
    1789300817,
    0.0445
   ],
   [
    1789344012,
    0.046
   ],
   [
    1789387212,
    0.0445
   ],
   [
    1789430412,
    0.049
   ],
   [
    1789473612,
    0.059
   ],
   [
    1789516813,
    0.0495
   ],
   [
    1789560012,
    0.0495
   ],
   [
    1789603212,
    0.0495
   ],
   [
    1789646412,
    0.0505
   ],
   [
    1789689615,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789732814,
    0.051
   ],
   [
    1789776015,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1789819215,
    0.046
   ],
   [
    1789862415,
    0.046
   ],
   [
    1789905612,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1789948812,
    0.0365
   ],
   [
    1789992010,
    0.031
   ],
   [
    1790035213,
    0.027
   ],
   [
    1790078412,
    0.027
   ],
   [
    1790121613,
    0.0245
   ],
   [
    1790164814,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1790208025,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1790251213,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1790294416,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1790337615,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1790380815,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1790424014,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1790467214,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1790510413,
    0.028
   ],
   [
    1790553628,
    0.029
   ],
   [
    1790596814,
    0.029
   ],
   [
    1790640015,
    0.028
   ],
   [
    1790683216,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1790726416,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1790769616,
    0.022
   ],
   [
    1790812817,
    0.023
   ],
   [
    1790856015,
    0.023
   ],
   [
    1790899215,
    0.024
   ],
   [
    1790942416,
    0.023
   ],
   [
    1790985618,
    0.023
   ],
   [
    1791028815,
    0.023
   ],
   [
    1791072016,
    0.023
   ],
   [
    1791115217,
    0.0225
   ],
   [
    1791158418,
    0.0265
   ],
   [
    1791201616,
    0.027
   ],
   [
    1791244817,
    0.027
   ],
   [
    1791288019,
    0.0165
   ],
   [
    1791291857,
    0.0165
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/what-will-the-peak-roni-be-for-the-2026-27-el-nino/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/what-will-the-peak-roni-be-for-the-2026-27-el-nino/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
