{
 "slug": "venezuela-de-facto-leader-end-of-2026",
 "title": "Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/venezuela-de-facto-leader-end-of-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/venezuela-de-facto-leader-end-of-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00",
 "volume": 408195.29,
 "volume_24h": 0.0,
 "liquidity": 301907.88,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Delcy Rodríguez",
   "probability": 0.935,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 119308.09,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "María Corina Machado",
   "probability": 0.038,
   "change_24h": 0.0025,
   "volume": 54269.05,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Marco Rubio",
   "probability": 0.017,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume": 6631.58,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Dinorah Figuera",
   "probability": 0.011,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 5056.57,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "No Head of State",
   "probability": 0.0025,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 67226.15,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Vladimir Padrino López",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 68197.12,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Jorge Rodríguez",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 8462.82,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Richard Grenell",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 7399.84,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Evan Pettus",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 7330.61,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Nicolás Maduro",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 4929.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Diosdado Cabello Rondón",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3595.64,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Pete Hegseth",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3106.28,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Donald Trump",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2953.25,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Edmundo González",
   "probability": 0.001,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 4128.06,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Dan Caine",
   "probability": 0.001,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3349.07,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Frank Donovan",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 42252.17,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Delcy Rodríguez": [
   [
    1788739231,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1788782418,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1788825615,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1788868818,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1788912023,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1788955220,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1789041618,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1789084819,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1789128020,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1789171219,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1789214420,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1789257618,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1789300821,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1789430414,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1789516816,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1789560021,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1789603217,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1789646416,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1789689620,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789732820,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789776020,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789819220,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789862420,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789905617,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1789948817,
    0.92
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.92
   ],
   [
    1790035217,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1790164824,
    0.93
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.93
   ],
   [
    1790294421,
    0.93
   ],
   [
    1790337617,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.92
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.92
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1790683219,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.93
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.93
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1790856019,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1790899219,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1791028819,
    0.93
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1791158422,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1791201621,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1791244821,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1791292159,
    0.935
   ]
  ],
  "María Corina Machado": [
   [
    1788739230,
    0.0315
   ],
   [
    1788782416,
    0.031
   ],
   [
    1788825614,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1788868817,
    0.036
   ],
   [
    1788912021,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1788955218,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1788998416,
    0.036
   ],
   [
    1789041616,
    0.036
   ],
   [
    1789084817,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1789128018,
    0.037
   ],
   [
    1789171217,
    0.038
   ],
   [
    1789214418,
    0.0385
   ],
   [
    1789257616,
    0.0385
   ],
   [
    1789300820,
    0.0385
   ],
   [
    1789344014,
    0.038
   ],
   [
    1789387213,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1789430413,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1789473614,
    0.037
   ],
   [
    1789516815,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1789560018,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1789603215,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1789646415,
    0.037
   ],
   [
    1789689618,
    0.0385
   ],
   [
    1789732818,
    0.038
   ],
   [
    1789776018,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1789819218,
    0.0365
   ],
   [
    1789862418,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1789905615,
    0.0405
   ],
   [
    1789948815,
    0.039
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.0405
   ],
   [
    1790035215,
    0.0405
   ],
   [
    1790078415,
    0.0405
   ],
   [
    1790121616,
    0.038
   ],
   [
    1790164820,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1790208028,
    0.037
   ],
   [
    1790251217,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1790294419,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1790337616,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1790380816,
    0.038
   ],
   [
    1790424015,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1790467215,
    0.036
   ],
   [
    1790510415,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1790553630,
    0.0335
   ],
   [
    1790596815,
    0.0345
   ],
   [
    1790640016,
    0.0335
   ],
   [
    1790683218,
    0.0335
   ],
   [
    1790726418,
    0.033
   ],
   [
    1790769617,
    0.0335
   ],
   [
    1790812819,
    0.0345
   ],
   [
    1790856017,
    0.0335
   ],
   [
    1790899217,
    0.0345
   ],
   [
    1790942417,
    0.0315
   ],
   [
    1790985620,
    0.032
   ],
   [
    1791028817,
    0.031
   ],
   [
    1791072017,
    0.0315
   ],
   [
    1791115219,
    0.0315
   ],
   [
    1791158420,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1791201619,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1791244819,
    0.0385
   ],
   [
    1791288022,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1791292159,
    0.0385
   ]
  ],
  "Marco Rubio": [
   [
    1788739233,
    0.0115
   ],
   [
    1788782421,
    0.0115
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.0115
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.009
   ],
   [
    1788912025,
    0.008
   ],
   [
    1788955223,
    0.008
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.008
   ],
   [
    1789041620,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1789084822,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1789128023,
    0.0085
   ],
   [
    1789171222,
    0.0125
   ],
   [
    1789214423,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1789257621,
    0.013
   ],
   [
    1789300824,
    0.0125
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.0085
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.0095
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.009
   ],
   [
    1789473617,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1789560026,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.0085
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.0075
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.0025
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.0085
   ],
   [
    1789776024,
    0.0085
   ],
   [
    1789819224,
    0.01
   ],
   [
    1789862423,
    0.012
   ],
   [
    1789905620,
    0.0085
   ],
   [
    1789948820,
    0.0145
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.014
   ],
   [
    1790035220,
    0.013
   ],
   [
    1790078420,
    0.013
   ],
   [
    1790121622,
    0.0235
   ],
   [
    1790164830,
    0.0285
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.0205
   ],
   [
    1790251222,
    0.018
   ],
   [
    1790294425,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.0195
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1790467220,
    0.018
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.0275
   ],
   [
    1790553634,
    0.0275
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.0275
   ],
   [
    1790640020,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1790683223,
    0.0235
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.028
   ],
   [
    1790769622,
    0.0285
   ],
   [
    1790812824,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1790856023,
    0.022
   ],
   [
    1790899222,
    0.0315
   ],
   [
    1790942421,
    0.022
   ],
   [
    1790985625,
    0.022
   ],
   [
    1791028823,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1791115224,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1791158426,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1791201625,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1791244824,
    0.016
   ],
   [
    1791288029,
    0.016
   ],
   [
    1791292161,
    0.016
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/venezuela-de-facto-leader-end-of-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/venezuela-de-facto-leader-end-of-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}