{
 "slug": "us-recession-by-end-of-2026",
 "title": "US recession by end of 2026?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-recession-by-end-of-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-recession-by-end-of-2026",
 "category": "economy",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00",
 "volume": 2262501.4,
 "volume_24h": 6222.57,
 "liquidity": 82643.44,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.075,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2262501.4,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "No",
   "probability": 0.925,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": null,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Yes": [
   [
    1788739235,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1788782424,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1788912026,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1788955225,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1789084823,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789128026,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789171224,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1789214426,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1789257622,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789300826,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789560030,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789646421,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789776026,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789862425,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790121624,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790164834,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1790251224,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790294428,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790337622,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790467221,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790640022,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790683225,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790726424,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790812826,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790856025,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790899224,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1790985628,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1791028825,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1791072023,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1791115226,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1791201628,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1791244827,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1791288031,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1791291625,
    0.075
   ]
  ],
  "No": [
   [
    1788739236,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1788782424,
    0.93
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1788955225,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1789084824,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1789128026,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1789171224,
    0.93
   ],
   [
    1789214426,
    0.93
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1789300826,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.905
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.905
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1789560031,
    0.855
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1789646422,
    0.895
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.905
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1789862426,
    0.92
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.92
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.93
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.905
   ],
   [
    1790121625,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790164835,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1790251225,
    0.905
   ],
   [
    1790294428,
    0.895
   ],
   [
    1790337623,
    0.905
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.905
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.905
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.91
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790683226,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1790985628,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1791028826,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1791115227,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.92
   ],
   [
    1791201629,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1791244828,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1791291625,
    0.925
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-recession-by-end-of-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-recession-by-end-of-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}