{
 "slug": "third-best-ai-lab-end-of-october",
 "title": "Third-best AI Lab end of October?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-october/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-october",
 "category": "tech",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00",
 "volume": 56192.03,
 "volume_24h": 3433.86,
 "liquidity": 13781.21,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Meta",
   "probability": 0.44,
   "change_24h": 0.06,
   "volume": 7488.2,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Xiaomi",
   "probability": 0.298,
   "change_24h": -0.0145,
   "volume": 2767.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Alibaba",
   "probability": 0.145,
   "change_24h": -0.05,
   "volume": 10064.15,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "OpenAI",
   "probability": 0.03,
   "change_24h": -0.012,
   "volume": 5123.72,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Anthropic",
   "probability": 0.024,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume": 1837.63,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Google",
   "probability": 0.0165,
   "change_24h": -0.0065,
   "volume": 13981.27,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Baidu",
   "probability": 0.0115,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume": 1010.8,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Z.ai",
   "probability": 0.009,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 1117.19,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "SpaceXAI",
   "probability": 0.0085,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume": 1918.37,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Mistral",
   "probability": 0.0065,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1235.43,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Moonshot",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume": 1184.33,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Tencent",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 1148.94,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Meituan",
   "probability": 0.0045,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 896.55,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "MiniMax",
   "probability": 0.0035,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1273.47,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "ByteDance",
   "probability": 0.003,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1112.13,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "DeepSeek",
   "probability": 0.003,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 954.69,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Thinky",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 830.32,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Amazon",
   "probability": 0.001,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 445.64,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "StepFun",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 729.99,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Microsoft",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 656.66,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Nvidia",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 415.53,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Meta": [
   [
    1788739230,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1788782417,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1788825615,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1788868817,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1788912022,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1788955219,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1788998417,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789041617,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1789084818,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1789128019,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789171218,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789214418,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1789257617,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1789300820,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1789344014,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1789387213,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1789430414,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1789473614,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1789516815,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1789560019,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1789603216,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1789646415,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1789689619,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1789732819,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1789776019,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1789819219,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1789862419,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1789905615,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1789948815,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1790035216,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1790078416,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1790121617,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1790164821,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1790208028,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1790251217,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1790294420,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1790337616,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1790380817,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1790424016,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790467216,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790510415,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790553630,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790596816,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790640017,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790683218,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790726418,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790769617,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790812819,
    0.415
   ],
   [
    1790856018,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1790899218,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790942417,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1790985621,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1791028818,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1791072017,
    0.41
   ],
   [
    1791115219,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1791158421,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1791201620,
    0.41
   ],
   [
    1791244819,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1791288023,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1791291680,
    0.44
   ]
  ],
  "Xiaomi": [
   [
    1788739227,
    0.0145
   ],
   [
    1788782412,
    0.0145
   ],
   [
    1788825612,
    0.0145
   ],
   [
    1788868813,
    0.0135
   ],
   [
    1788912018,
    0.0145
   ],
   [
    1788955214,
    0.014
   ],
   [
    1788998414,
    0.0145
   ],
   [
    1789041613,
    0.013
   ],
   [
    1789084814,
    0.0145
   ],
   [
    1789128015,
    0.008
   ],
   [
    1789171214,
    0.008
   ],
   [
    1789214414,
    0.008
   ],
   [
    1789257613,
    0.0085
   ],
   [
    1789300817,
    0.0145
   ],
   [
    1789344012,
    0.015
   ],
   [
    1789387212,
    0.015
   ],
   [
    1789430412,
    0.015
   ],
   [
    1789473612,
    0.015
   ],
   [
    1789516813,
    0.015
   ],
   [
    1789560012,
    0.015
   ],
   [
    1789603212,
    0.015
   ],
   [
    1789646412,
    0.0145
   ],
   [
    1789689615,
    0.0025
   ],
   [
    1789732814,
    0.002
   ],
   [
    1789776015,
    0.003
   ],
   [
    1789819215,
    0.003
   ],
   [
    1789862415,
    0.003
   ],
   [
    1789905612,
    0.003
   ],
   [
    1789948812,
    0.003
   ],
   [
    1789992010,
    0.003
   ],
   [
    1790035213,
    0.003
   ],
   [
    1790078412,
    0.003
   ],
   [
    1790121613,
    0.003
   ],
   [
    1790164814,
    0.003
   ],
   [
    1790208025,
    0.003
   ],
   [
    1790251213,
    0.003
   ],
   [
    1790294416,
    0.003
   ],
   [
    1790337615,
    0.003
   ],
   [
    1790380815,
    0.003
   ],
   [
    1790424014,
    0.0725
   ],
   [
    1790467214,
    0.0935
   ],
   [
    1790510413,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790553628,
    0.0715
   ],
   [
    1790596814,
    0.0565
   ],
   [
    1790640015,
    0.0785
   ],
   [
    1790683217,
    0.0545
   ],
   [
    1790726417,
    0.0885
   ],
   [
    1790769616,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1790812818,
    0.243
   ],
   [
    1790856016,
    0.1585
   ],
   [
    1790899216,
    0.2565
   ],
   [
    1790942416,
    0.3665
   ],
   [
    1790985619,
    0.3595
   ],
   [
    1791028816,
    0.327
   ],
   [
    1791072016,
    0.314
   ],
   [
    1791115218,
    0.271
   ],
   [
    1791158419,
    0.3105
   ],
   [
    1791201618,
    0.3155
   ],
   [
    1791244818,
    0.333
   ],
   [
    1791288021,
    0.298
   ],
   [
    1791291680,
    0.298
   ]
  ],
  "Alibaba": [
   [
    1788739236,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788782425,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1788868822,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1788998422,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789084824,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789128027,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789171225,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789214427,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789257624,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789516820,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789560032,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789646422,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789776028,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789819228,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789862426,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789948823,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790121625,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790164837,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790208036,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790251226,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790294429,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790337623,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790424022,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790596822,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790683226,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790769625,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790856027,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790899226,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790942425,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790985629,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1791028827,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791072025,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791115227,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791158430,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791201630,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791244828,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791288033,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791291684,
    0.145
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-october/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-october/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
