{
 "slug": "republican-senate-odds-hit-by-october-31",
 "title": "Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/republican-senate-odds-hit-by-october-31/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-senate-odds-hit-by-october-31",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 49082.56,
 "volume_24h": 2304.45,
 "liquidity": 95332.2,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "↓ 35%",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.114,
   "volume": 4565.46,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "↓ 30%",
   "probability": 0.73,
   "change_24h": 0.065,
   "volume": 6610.49,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 40%",
   "probability": 0.495,
   "change_24h": 0.14,
   "volume": 5714.39,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↓ 25%",
   "probability": 0.21,
   "change_24h": -0.045,
   "volume": 14490.02,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 45%",
   "probability": 0.175,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 10260.58,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 50%",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 4695.54,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 55%",
   "probability": 0.0145,
   "change_24h": 0.0015,
   "volume": 1587.37,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 60%",
   "probability": 0.013,
   "change_24h": 0.0015,
   "volume": 1158.7,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "↓ 30%": [
   [
    1790121616,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1790164819,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1790208027,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1790251216,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1790294419,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1790337616,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1790380816,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1790424015,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1790467215,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1790510415,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1790553630,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1790596815,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1790640016,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1790683218,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1790726418,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790769617,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1790812819,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790856017,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790899217,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790942417,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790985620,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1791028817,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1791072017,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1791115218,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1791158420,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1791201619,
    0.66
   ],
   [
    1791244819,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1791288022,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1791291739,
    0.695
   ]
  ],
  "↑ 40%": [
   [
    1790078418,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1790121620,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1790164826,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1790208031,
    0.54
   ],
   [
    1790251220,
    0.54
   ],
   [
    1790294423,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1790337618,
    0.585
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1790467218,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1790510417,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1790640019,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1790683221,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1790769620,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790812822,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1790856021,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1790899220,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1790942420,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1790985623,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791028821,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791115222,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791158424,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791201623,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791244822,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791288026,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1791291740,
    0.495
   ]
  ],
  "↓ 25%": [
   [
    1790121619,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790164824,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1790294422,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790337618,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790899219,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791244821,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791291740,
    0.21
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/republican-senate-odds-hit-by-october-31/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/republican-senate-odds-hit-by-october-31/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
