{
 "slug": "probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
 "title": "Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
 "category": "crypto",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2028-01-01T05:00:00+00:00",
 "volume": 167397.94,
 "volume_24h": 62.2,
 "liquidity": 123167.04,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "$50M",
   "probability": 0.135,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 97258.67,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "$100M",
   "probability": 0.132,
   "change_24h": -0.006,
   "volume": 41814.61,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "$300M",
   "probability": 0.132,
   "change_24h": -0.006,
   "volume": 9449.33,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "$200M",
   "probability": 0.1265,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume": 10614.95,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "$400M",
   "probability": 0.106,
   "change_24h": 0.0055,
   "volume": 1368.54,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "$500M",
   "probability": 0.0715,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 1994.64,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "$800M",
   "probability": 0.044,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 3807.25,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "$1B",
   "probability": 0.0225,
   "change_24h": 0.008,
   "volume": 1089.95,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "$50M": [
   [
    1788739235,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788782424,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1788912026,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1788955225,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789084823,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789128026,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789171224,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789214426,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789257622,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789300826,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789560030,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789603221,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789646421,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789776026,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789862425,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790121624,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790164834,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790251224,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790294428,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790337622,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790467221,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790640022,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790683225,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790726424,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790812826,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790856025,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790899224,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790985628,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791028825,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791072023,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791115226,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791201628,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791244827,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791288031,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791292343,
    0.135
   ]
  ],
  "$100M": [
   [
    1788739233,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788782421,
    0.0945
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.0915
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.094
   ],
   [
    1788912024,
    0.0935
   ],
   [
    1788955222,
    0.1025
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.1145
   ],
   [
    1789041620,
    0.1375
   ],
   [
    1789084821,
    0.144
   ],
   [
    1789128023,
    0.1455
   ],
   [
    1789171221,
    0.147
   ],
   [
    1789214423,
    0.132
   ],
   [
    1789257620,
    0.141
   ],
   [
    1789300823,
    0.1545
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.112
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.1075
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.1055
   ],
   [
    1789473616,
    0.1045
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.1415
   ],
   [
    1789560025,
    0.129
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.123
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.1175
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.1195
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.1215
   ],
   [
    1789776023,
    0.127
   ],
   [
    1789819223,
    0.112
   ],
   [
    1789862422,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789905619,
    0.1215
   ],
   [
    1789948819,
    0.114
   ],
   [
    1789992014,
    0.1135
   ],
   [
    1790035219,
    0.1235
   ],
   [
    1790078419,
    0.117
   ],
   [
    1790121621,
    0.124
   ],
   [
    1790164829,
    0.122
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.116
   ],
   [
    1790251221,
    0.1165
   ],
   [
    1790294424,
    0.126
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.1265
   ],
   [
    1790380819,
    0.1315
   ],
   [
    1790424018,
    0.129
   ],
   [
    1790467219,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.117
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.116
   ],
   [
    1790596818,
    0.1115
   ],
   [
    1790640020,
    0.107
   ],
   [
    1790683222,
    0.118
   ],
   [
    1790726421,
    0.141
   ],
   [
    1790769621,
    0.1235
   ],
   [
    1790812823,
    0.154
   ],
   [
    1790856022,
    0.1535
   ],
   [
    1790899221,
    0.116
   ],
   [
    1790942421,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790985625,
    0.1315
   ],
   [
    1791028822,
    0.137
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.1365
   ],
   [
    1791115223,
    0.1355
   ],
   [
    1791158425,
    0.127
   ],
   [
    1791201624,
    0.1385
   ],
   [
    1791244824,
    0.1315
   ],
   [
    1791288028,
    0.132
   ],
   [
    1791292341,
    0.132
   ]
  ],
  "$300M": [
   [
    1788739234,
    0.097
   ],
   [
    1788782423,
    0.094
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.0945
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.096
   ],
   [
    1788912026,
    0.0945
   ],
   [
    1788955224,
    0.0985
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.098
   ],
   [
    1789041621,
    0.0975
   ],
   [
    1789084823,
    0.0995
   ],
   [
    1789128025,
    0.1015
   ],
   [
    1789171223,
    0.1005
   ],
   [
    1789214425,
    0.0995
   ],
   [
    1789257622,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.0995
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.0995
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.1015
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.1015
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.102
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.1015
   ],
   [
    1789560029,
    0.102
   ],
   [
    1789603221,
    0.1025
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.098
   ],
   [
    1789689624,
    0.1005
   ],
   [
    1789732825,
    0.098
   ],
   [
    1789776025,
    0.1115
   ],
   [
    1789819226,
    0.1495
   ],
   [
    1789862424,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1789905621,
    0.1135
   ],
   [
    1789948821,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.101
   ],
   [
    1790035221,
    0.1245
   ],
   [
    1790078421,
    0.119
   ],
   [
    1790121623,
    0.0995
   ],
   [
    1790164833,
    0.103
   ],
   [
    1790208034,
    0.111
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.113
   ],
   [
    1790294427,
    0.1125
   ],
   [
    1790337621,
    0.111
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.109
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.1125
   ],
   [
    1790467221,
    0.1125
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.113
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.112
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790640022,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790683224,
    0.1225
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.111
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.118
   ],
   [
    1790812825,
    0.121
   ],
   [
    1790856024,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1790899223,
    0.0745
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.127
   ],
   [
    1790985627,
    0.1305
   ],
   [
    1791028825,
    0.136
   ],
   [
    1791072023,
    0.1325
   ],
   [
    1791115225,
    0.1295
   ],
   [
    1791158428,
    0.1295
   ],
   [
    1791201627,
    0.1365
   ],
   [
    1791244826,
    0.1295
   ],
   [
    1791288030,
    0.132
   ],
   [
    1791292343,
    0.132
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}