{
 "slug": "next-senate-majority-leader-485",
 "title": "Next Senate Majority Leader?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-senate-majority-leader-485/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-senate-majority-leader-485",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 171988.42,
 "volume_24h": 70.78,
 "liquidity": 427819.21,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Chuck Schumer",
   "probability": 0.485,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 16540.88,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "John Thune",
   "probability": 0.265,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 33890.42,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Brian Schatz",
   "probability": 0.09,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 4897.56,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Chris Van Hollen",
   "probability": 0.0565,
   "change_24h": 0.002,
   "volume": 1625.84,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Tom Cotton",
   "probability": 0.039,
   "change_24h": 0.003,
   "volume": 8172.83,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Patty Murray",
   "probability": 0.039,
   "change_24h": 0.006,
   "volume": 5918.58,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Cory Booker",
   "probability": 0.0265,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 5334.76,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Steve Daines",
   "probability": 0.016,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 25050.57,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "John Barrasso",
   "probability": 0.0135,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 4900.65,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Mark Kelly",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 5418.88,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Amy Klobuchar",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume": 5138.16,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Lindsey Graham",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.0135,
   "volume": 55099.3,
   "closed": true
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Chuck Schumer": [
   [
    1788739233,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1788782421,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1788912024,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1788955222,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1789041620,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1789084821,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1789128023,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1789171221,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789214423,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789257620,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789300824,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1789473616,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1789560025,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1789776023,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1789819223,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1789862422,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1789905619,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1789948819,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1789992014,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1790035219,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1790078419,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1790121621,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1790164829,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1790251221,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1790294424,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1790380819,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.4
   ],
   [
    1790467219,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1790596818,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1790640020,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1790683222,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1790769621,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790812823,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790856022,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790899221,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1790942421,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790985625,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1791028822,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1791115223,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1791158425,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1791201624,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1791244824,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1791288028,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1791292101,
    0.485
   ]
  ],
  "John Thune": [
   [
    1788739236,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1788782425,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1788868822,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1788912028,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1788998422,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789041623,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789084825,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789128027,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789171225,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789214427,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789257624,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789300828,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789473620,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789516820,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789560032,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789603223,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789646423,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789689626,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1789776028,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1789819229,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1789862427,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1789948823,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1789992018,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790121626,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790164838,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1790208036,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1790251226,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790294429,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790337624,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790380823,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790424022,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790467223,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790510423,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1790553637,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1790596822,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1790640024,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790683227,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790726426,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790769625,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790812828,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790856027,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790899226,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790942425,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790985630,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791028828,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791072025,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791115228,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791158431,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791201631,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791244829,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791288034,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791292103,
    0.265
   ]
  ],
  "Brian Schatz": [
   [
    1788739231,
    0.052
   ],
   [
    1788782417,
    0.052
   ],
   [
    1788825615,
    0.052
   ],
   [
    1788868817,
    0.052
   ],
   [
    1788912022,
    0.052
   ],
   [
    1788955219,
    0.052
   ],
   [
    1788998417,
    0.052
   ],
   [
    1789041617,
    0.052
   ],
   [
    1789084818,
    0.052
   ],
   [
    1789128020,
    0.052
   ],
   [
    1789171218,
    0.0525
   ],
   [
    1789214419,
    0.0525
   ],
   [
    1789257617,
    0.052
   ],
   [
    1789300821,
    0.052
   ],
   [
    1789344015,
    0.0525
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.0525
   ],
   [
    1789430414,
    0.0525
   ],
   [
    1789473614,
    0.0525
   ],
   [
    1789516815,
    0.0525
   ],
   [
    1789560020,
    0.0545
   ],
   [
    1789603216,
    0.0545
   ],
   [
    1789646416,
    0.0545
   ],
   [
    1789689619,
    0.0545
   ],
   [
    1789732819,
    0.0545
   ],
   [
    1789776019,
    0.076
   ],
   [
    1789819219,
    0.076
   ],
   [
    1789862419,
    0.0775
   ],
   [
    1789905616,
    0.0765
   ],
   [
    1789948816,
    0.1425
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.1405
   ],
   [
    1790035216,
    0.141
   ],
   [
    1790078416,
    0.1545
   ],
   [
    1790121617,
    0.1595
   ],
   [
    1790164822,
    0.1665
   ],
   [
    1790208028,
    0.0975
   ],
   [
    1790251218,
    0.0955
   ],
   [
    1790294420,
    0.086
   ],
   [
    1790337617,
    0.0895
   ],
   [
    1790380817,
    0.1035
   ],
   [
    1790424016,
    0.103
   ],
   [
    1790467216,
    0.103
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.0945
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.0895
   ],
   [
    1790596816,
    0.0895
   ],
   [
    1790640017,
    0.0835
   ],
   [
    1790683219,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790769618,
    0.0835
   ],
   [
    1790812820,
    0.0865
   ],
   [
    1790856018,
    0.0855
   ],
   [
    1790899218,
    0.0855
   ],
   [
    1790942418,
    0.0855
   ],
   [
    1790985621,
    0.0885
   ],
   [
    1791028818,
    0.0885
   ],
   [
    1791072018,
    0.089
   ],
   [
    1791115220,
    0.089
   ],
   [
    1791158421,
    0.0895
   ],
   [
    1791201620,
    0.0895
   ],
   [
    1791244820,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1791288023,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1791292099,
    0.09
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-senate-majority-leader-485/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-senate-majority-leader-485/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}