{
 "slug": "next-fable-model-5pt2-released",
 "title": "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-fable-model-5pt2-released/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-fable-model-5pt2-released-byptptpt",
 "category": "tech",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 101564.2,
 "volume_24h": 27984.39,
 "liquidity": 47860.07,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.974,
   "change_24h": -0.0165,
   "volume": 6798.27,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.9405,
   "change_24h": -0.006,
   "volume": 52099.83,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By October 24",
   "probability": 0.9,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume": 11171.73,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By October 17",
   "probability": 0.72,
   "change_24h": -0.09,
   "volume": 9296.24,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By October 14",
   "probability": 0.505,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1413.91,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By October 12",
   "probability": 0.41,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3094.29,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By October 10",
   "probability": 0.325,
   "change_24h": -0.07,
   "volume": 10273.53,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By October 9",
   "probability": 0.315,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3434.46,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By October 8",
   "probability": 0.26,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3981.93,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "By December 31": [
   [
    1788739236,
    0.785
   ],
   [
    1788782425,
    0.85
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.85
   ],
   [
    1788868822,
    0.85
   ],
   [
    1788912028,
    0.865
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.9
   ],
   [
    1788998422,
    0.87
   ],
   [
    1789041623,
    0.87
   ],
   [
    1789084825,
    0.865
   ],
   [
    1789128027,
    0.865
   ],
   [
    1789171225,
    0.865
   ],
   [
    1789214427,
    0.88
   ],
   [
    1789257624,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.88
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.88
   ],
   [
    1789473620,
    0.88
   ],
   [
    1789516820,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1789560032,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1789603223,
    0.895
   ],
   [
    1789646423,
    0.875
   ],
   [
    1789689626,
    0.9
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.905
   ],
   [
    1789776028,
    0.91
   ],
   [
    1789819228,
    0.91
   ],
   [
    1789862427,
    0.9
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.91
   ],
   [
    1789948823,
    0.895
   ],
   [
    1789992018,
    0.895
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.91
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.91
   ],
   [
    1790121626,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790164837,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790208036,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790251226,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790294429,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790337623,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790380823,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1790424022,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1790467223,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790510423,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1790596822,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1790640024,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1790683227,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1790769625,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1790812828,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1790856027,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1790899226,
    0.95
   ],
   [
    1790942425,
    0.9595
   ],
   [
    1790985630,
    0.975
   ],
   [
    1791028827,
    0.981
   ],
   [
    1791072025,
    0.982
   ],
   [
    1791115228,
    0.9835
   ],
   [
    1791158430,
    0.9815
   ],
   [
    1791201630,
    0.9905
   ],
   [
    1791244829,
    0.9875
   ],
   [
    1791288033,
    0.9745
   ],
   [
    1791291561,
    0.976
   ]
  ],
  "By October 31": [
   [
    1788739234,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1788782422,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.42
   ],
   [
    1788912026,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1788955224,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.56
   ],
   [
    1789041621,
    0.54
   ],
   [
    1789084823,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1789128024,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1789171223,
    0.57
   ],
   [
    1789214424,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1789257622,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.58
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.56
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1789560028,
    0.67
   ],
   [
    1789603220,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1789689624,
    0.67
   ],
   [
    1789732824,
    0.65
   ],
   [
    1789776025,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1789819225,
    0.68
   ],
   [
    1789862424,
    0.7
   ],
   [
    1789905621,
    0.73
   ],
   [
    1789948821,
    0.74
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.77
   ],
   [
    1790035221,
    0.785
   ],
   [
    1790078421,
    0.79
   ],
   [
    1790121623,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1790164832,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1790208034,
    0.57
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.58
   ],
   [
    1790294426,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1790337621,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.56
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.63
   ],
   [
    1790467220,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1790510420,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1790553634,
    0.635
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1790640021,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1790683224,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.75
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1790812825,
    0.785
   ],
   [
    1790856024,
    0.895
   ],
   [
    1790899223,
    0.865
   ],
   [
    1790942422,
    0.875
   ],
   [
    1790985626,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1791028824,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1791072022,
    0.93
   ],
   [
    1791115225,
    0.9675
   ],
   [
    1791158427,
    0.9425
   ],
   [
    1791201627,
    0.943
   ],
   [
    1791244826,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1791288030,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1791291560,
    0.94
   ]
  ],
  "By October 24": [
   [
    1790985619,
    0.865
   ],
   [
    1791028815,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1791072016,
    0.865
   ],
   [
    1791115217,
    0.865
   ],
   [
    1791158418,
    0.865
   ],
   [
    1791201616,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1791244817,
    0.905
   ],
   [
    1791288019,
    0.9
   ],
   [
    1791291557,
    0.885
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-fable-model-5pt2-released/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-fable-model-5pt2-released/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}