{
 "slug": "next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028-before-2028",
 "title": "Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028-before-2028/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028-before-2028",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 73374.63,
 "volume_24h": 30.78,
 "liquidity": 189268.99,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "No Next Chancellor before 2028",
   "probability": 0.685,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 51726.01,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Hendrik Wüst",
   "probability": 0.135,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 8062.66,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Markus Söder",
   "probability": 0.05,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume": 3846.73,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Alice Weidel",
   "probability": 0.0315,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume": 1447.73,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Boris Pistorius",
   "probability": 0.0075,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1701.74,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Lars Klingbeil",
   "probability": 0.0065,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1180.13,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Felix Banaszak",
   "probability": 0.0045,
   "change_24h": 0.003,
   "volume": 1013.56,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Carsten Linnemann",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 828.92,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Heidi Reichinnek",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 873.87,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Sahra Wagenknecht",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 783.76,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Katharina Dröge",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 728.26,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Tino Chrupalla",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 652.67,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Jens Spahn",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 528.58,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "No Next Chancellor before 2028": [
   [
    1789516819,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1789560030,
    0.42
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1789646422,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1789862425,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.48
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1790121624,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790164835,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790251225,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790294428,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790337622,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790683225,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790726424,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.72
   ],
   [
    1790985628,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1791028826,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1791115226,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1791201629,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1791244827,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1791291796,
    0.685
   ]
  ],
  "Hendrik Wüst": [
   [
    1789516815,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1789560020,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789603216,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789646415,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789689619,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789732819,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1789776019,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1789819219,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789862419,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789905616,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1789948815,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790035216,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790078416,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790121617,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790164821,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790208028,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790251217,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790294420,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790337616,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790380817,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790424016,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790467216,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790510415,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790553630,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790596816,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790640017,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790683219,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790769618,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790812820,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790856018,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790899218,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790942418,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790985621,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791028818,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791072018,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791115220,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791158421,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791201620,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791244820,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791288023,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791291793,
    0.135
   ]
  ],
  "Markus Söder": [
   [
    1789516818,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789560027,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789603220,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789732824,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789776024,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789819224,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789862423,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789905620,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1789948820,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790035220,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790078420,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790121622,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790164830,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790208033,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790251222,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790294425,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790467220,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790553634,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790640021,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790683223,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790769622,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790812824,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790856023,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790899222,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790942422,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1790985626,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1791028823,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1791115224,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1791158426,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1791201626,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1791244825,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1791288029,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1791291795,
    0.05
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028-before-2028/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028-before-2028/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}