{
 "slug": "largest-ipo-by-market-cap-in-2026-287",
 "title": "Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/largest-ipo-by-market-cap-in-2026-287/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/largest-ipo-by-market-cap-in-2026-287",
 "category": "economy",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-02T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 6516706.06,
 "volume_24h": 2672.95,
 "liquidity": 607492.83,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Anthropic",
   "probability": 0.5085,
   "change_24h": -0.029,
   "volume": 1358833.27,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "SpaceX",
   "probability": 0.46,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 923879.24,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "OpenAI",
   "probability": 0.0065,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 579115.92,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Kraken",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 667079.45,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Revolut",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 659108.41,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "SHEIN",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 634659.85,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Databricks",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 628434.54,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Waymo",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 344214.7,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "ByteDance",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 220965.3,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Discord",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 201948.77,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Stripe",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 169286.96,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Perplexity AI",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 129179.66,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Anthropic": [
   [
    1788739227,
    0.5705
   ],
   [
    1788782412,
    0.571
   ],
   [
    1788825612,
    0.5675
   ],
   [
    1788868813,
    0.5865
   ],
   [
    1788912018,
    0.5725
   ],
   [
    1788955214,
    0.5925
   ],
   [
    1788998414,
    0.6095
   ],
   [
    1789041613,
    0.587
   ],
   [
    1789084814,
    0.568
   ],
   [
    1789128015,
    0.568
   ],
   [
    1789171214,
    0.5675
   ],
   [
    1789214414,
    0.5665
   ],
   [
    1789257613,
    0.577
   ],
   [
    1789300817,
    0.502
   ],
   [
    1789344012,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1789387212,
    0.499
   ],
   [
    1789430412,
    0.5265
   ],
   [
    1789473612,
    0.55
   ],
   [
    1789516813,
    0.5495
   ],
   [
    1789560012,
    0.5425
   ],
   [
    1789603212,
    0.543
   ],
   [
    1789646412,
    0.5455
   ],
   [
    1789689615,
    0.5555
   ],
   [
    1789732814,
    0.5485
   ],
   [
    1789776015,
    0.5655
   ],
   [
    1789819215,
    0.563
   ],
   [
    1789862415,
    0.5485
   ],
   [
    1789905612,
    0.5415
   ],
   [
    1789948812,
    0.563
   ],
   [
    1789992010,
    0.5725
   ],
   [
    1790035213,
    0.5485
   ],
   [
    1790078412,
    0.552
   ],
   [
    1790121613,
    0.552
   ],
   [
    1790164814,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790208025,
    0.5535
   ],
   [
    1790251213,
    0.5535
   ],
   [
    1790294416,
    0.4505
   ],
   [
    1790337615,
    0.506
   ],
   [
    1790380815,
    0.482
   ],
   [
    1790424014,
    0.482
   ],
   [
    1790467214,
    0.469
   ],
   [
    1790510413,
    0.477
   ],
   [
    1790553628,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1790596814,
    0.4305
   ],
   [
    1790640015,
    0.439
   ],
   [
    1790683216,
    0.4435
   ],
   [
    1790726416,
    0.444
   ],
   [
    1790769616,
    0.444
   ],
   [
    1790812817,
    0.448
   ],
   [
    1790856015,
    0.4615
   ],
   [
    1790899215,
    0.497
   ],
   [
    1790942416,
    0.5855
   ],
   [
    1790985619,
    0.5415
   ],
   [
    1791028815,
    0.574
   ],
   [
    1791072016,
    0.562
   ],
   [
    1791115217,
    0.547
   ],
   [
    1791158418,
    0.4625
   ],
   [
    1791201616,
    0.5325
   ],
   [
    1791244816,
    0.5075
   ],
   [
    1791288019,
    0.5085
   ],
   [
    1791291438,
    0.5085
   ]
  ],
  "SpaceX": [
   [
    1788739236,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1788782425,
    0.415
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.41
   ],
   [
    1788868822,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1788998422,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1789041623,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1789084825,
    0.415
   ],
   [
    1789128027,
    0.415
   ],
   [
    1789171225,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1789214427,
    0.415
   ],
   [
    1789257624,
    0.42
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1789473620,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1789516820,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1789560032,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1789603223,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1789646422,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1789689626,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1789776028,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1789819228,
    0.415
   ],
   [
    1789862426,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1789948823,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.4
   ],
   [
    1790121625,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1790164837,
    0.415
   ],
   [
    1790208036,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1790251226,
    0.415
   ],
   [
    1790294429,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1790337623,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1790380823,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1790424022,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1790467223,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1790510423,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.56
   ],
   [
    1790596822,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1790640024,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1790683227,
    0.48
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1790769625,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1790812828,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1790856027,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1790899226,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1790942425,
    0.4
   ],
   [
    1790985629,
    0.41
   ],
   [
    1791028827,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1791072025,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1791115228,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1791158430,
    0.48
   ],
   [
    1791201630,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1791244829,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1791288033,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1791291442,
    0.46
   ]
  ],
  "OpenAI": [
   [
    1788739233,
    0.0175
   ],
   [
    1788782421,
    0.017
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.017
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.0175
   ],
   [
    1788912025,
    0.018
   ],
   [
    1788955222,
    0.018
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1789041620,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1789084821,
    0.0225
   ],
   [
    1789128023,
    0.024
   ],
   [
    1789171221,
    0.03
   ],
   [
    1789214423,
    0.0235
   ],
   [
    1789257620,
    0.0135
   ],
   [
    1789300824,
    0.0095
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.0095
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.01
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.01
   ],
   [
    1789473617,
    0.0095
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.0105
   ],
   [
    1789560025,
    0.0095
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.0095
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.008
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.0085
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.0085
   ],
   [
    1789776023,
    0.0085
   ],
   [
    1789819223,
    0.0085
   ],
   [
    1789862422,
    0.0075
   ],
   [
    1789905619,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1789948819,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790035219,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790078419,
    0.007
   ],
   [
    1790121621,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1790164829,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.008
   ],
   [
    1790251221,
    0.008
   ],
   [
    1790294424,
    0.008
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.008
   ],
   [
    1790380819,
    0.008
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.007
   ],
   [
    1790467219,
    0.007
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1790596818,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790640020,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790683222,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790769621,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790812823,
    0.0075
   ],
   [
    1790856022,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1790899221,
    0.007
   ],
   [
    1790942421,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790985625,
    0.0075
   ],
   [
    1791028822,
    0.007
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.0075
   ],
   [
    1791115223,
    0.007
   ],
   [
    1791158425,
    0.007
   ],
   [
    1791201624,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1791244824,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1791288028,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1791291324,
    0.0065
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/largest-ipo-by-market-cap-in-2026-287/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/largest-ipo-by-market-cap-in-2026-287/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}