{
 "slug": "japan-10y-bond-yield-end-of-2026",
 "title": "Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/japan-10y-bond-yield-end-of-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/japan-10y-bond-yield-end-of-2026",
 "category": "economy",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-02-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 33986.68,
 "volume_24h": 537.88,
 "liquidity": 2504.61,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "3.0%+",
   "probability": 0.7185,
   "change_24h": -0.0855,
   "volume": 15259.01,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "2.8-3.0%",
   "probability": 0.092,
   "change_24h": 0.0245,
   "volume": 9035.7,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "2.4-2.6%",
   "probability": 0.083,
   "change_24h": 0.0265,
   "volume": 2577.49,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "2.2-2.4%",
   "probability": 0.082,
   "change_24h": 0.027,
   "volume": 1416.95,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "2.6-2.8%",
   "probability": 0.0415,
   "change_24h": 0.0075,
   "volume": 2607.01,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "2.0-2.2%",
   "probability": 0.017,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1710.7,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "<2.0%",
   "probability": 0.007,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1379.83,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "3.0%+": [
   [
    1788739234,
    0.6385
   ],
   [
    1788782421,
    0.6355
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.634
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.6375
   ],
   [
    1788912025,
    0.581
   ],
   [
    1788955223,
    0.558
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.558
   ],
   [
    1789041620,
    0.559
   ],
   [
    1789084822,
    0.559
   ],
   [
    1789128024,
    0.6305
   ],
   [
    1789171222,
    0.6515
   ],
   [
    1789214424,
    0.658
   ],
   [
    1789257621,
    0.6585
   ],
   [
    1789300824,
    0.6575
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.6595
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.6625
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.6625
   ],
   [
    1789473617,
    0.6625
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.6625
   ],
   [
    1789560027,
    0.6625
   ],
   [
    1789603220,
    0.6625
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.6625
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.6625
   ],
   [
    1789732824,
    0.6625
   ],
   [
    1789776024,
    0.6675
   ],
   [
    1789819224,
    0.672
   ],
   [
    1789862423,
    0.6725
   ],
   [
    1789905620,
    0.6725
   ],
   [
    1789948820,
    0.6725
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.6725
   ],
   [
    1790035220,
    0.6445
   ],
   [
    1790078420,
    0.5875
   ],
   [
    1790121622,
    0.5895
   ],
   [
    1790164830,
    0.5865
   ],
   [
    1790208033,
    0.716
   ],
   [
    1790251222,
    0.7005
   ],
   [
    1790294425,
    0.7005
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.7005
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.7005
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.7005
   ],
   [
    1790467220,
    0.7005
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.7005
   ],
   [
    1790553634,
    0.7005
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.7005
   ],
   [
    1790640021,
    0.7005
   ],
   [
    1790683223,
    0.7005
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.7005
   ],
   [
    1790769622,
    0.7005
   ],
   [
    1790812824,
    0.7005
   ],
   [
    1790856023,
    0.7005
   ],
   [
    1790899222,
    0.7005
   ],
   [
    1790942421,
    0.7005
   ],
   [
    1790985625,
    0.7005
   ],
   [
    1791028823,
    0.7005
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.7005
   ],
   [
    1791115224,
    0.7755
   ],
   [
    1791158426,
    0.7985
   ],
   [
    1791201625,
    0.804
   ],
   [
    1791244825,
    0.804
   ],
   [
    1791288029,
    0.7495
   ],
   [
    1791292036,
    0.7145
   ]
  ],
  "2.8-3.0%": [
   [
    1788739235,
    0.267
   ],
   [
    1788782424,
    0.269
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.264
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.266
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.269
   ],
   [
    1788955225,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.273
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.2725
   ],
   [
    1789084824,
    0.2715
   ],
   [
    1789128026,
    0.1395
   ],
   [
    1789171224,
    0.1015
   ],
   [
    1789214426,
    0.136
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.109
   ],
   [
    1789300826,
    0.098
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.117
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.107
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.136
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.129
   ],
   [
    1789560030,
    0.129
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.1635
   ],
   [
    1789646421,
    0.1555
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.1335
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.1575
   ],
   [
    1789776026,
    0.171
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.176
   ],
   [
    1789862425,
    0.1785
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.1765
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.187
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.1755
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.1705
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.1705
   ],
   [
    1790121624,
    0.1705
   ],
   [
    1790164835,
    0.1705
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.1475
   ],
   [
    1790251224,
    0.0795
   ],
   [
    1790294428,
    0.0695
   ],
   [
    1790337622,
    0.1065
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.1165
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.107
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.1035
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.078
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.114
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.1025
   ],
   [
    1790683225,
    0.107
   ],
   [
    1790726424,
    0.118
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.1005
   ],
   [
    1790812826,
    0.111
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.129
   ],
   [
    1790899224,
    0.1275
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.124
   ],
   [
    1790985628,
    0.1055
   ],
   [
    1791028826,
    0.1095
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.1045
   ],
   [
    1791115226,
    0.111
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.0715
   ],
   [
    1791201628,
    0.069
   ],
   [
    1791244827,
    0.0735
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.0785
   ],
   [
    1791292037,
    0.118
   ]
  ],
  "2.4-2.6%": [
   [
    1788739234,
    0.0445
   ],
   [
    1788782422,
    0.0235
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.049
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.0425
   ],
   [
    1788912026,
    0.0455
   ],
   [
    1788955224,
    0.046
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.0705
   ],
   [
    1789041621,
    0.069
   ],
   [
    1789084823,
    0.0635
   ],
   [
    1789128024,
    0.0035
   ],
   [
    1789171223,
    0.007
   ],
   [
    1789214425,
    0.0445
   ],
   [
    1789257622,
    0.0685
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.044
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.0685
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.068
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.0515
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.0705
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.0725
   ],
   [
    1789560028,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1789603221,
    0.0715
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.0745
   ],
   [
    1789689624,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1789732824,
    0.0715
   ],
   [
    1789776025,
    0.0695
   ],
   [
    1789819225,
    0.073
   ],
   [
    1789862424,
    0.0725
   ],
   [
    1789905621,
    0.069
   ],
   [
    1789948821,
    0.068
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.066
   ],
   [
    1790035221,
    0.0685
   ],
   [
    1790078421,
    0.0695
   ],
   [
    1790121623,
    0.049
   ],
   [
    1790164832,
    0.0625
   ],
   [
    1790208034,
    0.0635
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.0495
   ],
   [
    1790294426,
    0.057
   ],
   [
    1790337621,
    0.044
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.063
   ],
   [
    1790467221,
    0.0495
   ],
   [
    1790510420,
    0.0595
   ],
   [
    1790553634,
    0.082
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.0775
   ],
   [
    1790640021,
    0.089
   ],
   [
    1790683224,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.0695
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.088
   ],
   [
    1790812825,
    0.0865
   ],
   [
    1790856024,
    0.0765
   ],
   [
    1790899223,
    0.0695
   ],
   [
    1790942422,
    0.0875
   ],
   [
    1790985626,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1791028824,
    0.089
   ],
   [
    1791072022,
    0.077
   ],
   [
    1791115225,
    0.0555
   ],
   [
    1791158427,
    0.0615
   ],
   [
    1791201627,
    0.069
   ],
   [
    1791244826,
    0.072
   ],
   [
    1791288030,
    0.076
   ],
   [
    1791292102,
    0.0875
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/japan-10y-bond-yield-end-of-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/japan-10y-bond-yield-end-of-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}