{
 "slug": "israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues",
 "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963",
 "category": "geopolitics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-12-31T20:29:00+00:00",
 "volume": 32764388.34,
 "volume_24h": 99109.47,
 "liquidity": 350418.97,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Through July 31",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 3394417.89,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through September 30",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.011,
   "volume": 3337162.27,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through August 31",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3333310.6,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through August 2",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 2959160.82,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through July 25",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 2652891.59,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through August 15",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2534770.35,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through August 9",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2357474.69,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through August 1",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1393397.24,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through August 3",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1143344.75,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through July 26",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1140801.18,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through July 22",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.0045,
   "volume": 953283.71,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through August 4",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 861734.57,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through July 24",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 772686.9,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through July 29",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 648412.99,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through July 30",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 553197.19,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through July 27",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 538713.59,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through July 28",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 392797.35,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through July 20",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 351226.31,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through July 23",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 279287.42,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through July 18",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.0025,
   "volume": 245772.58,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through September 15",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 163166.13,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Through October 9",
   "probability": 0.9645,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1162.68,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Through October 15",
   "probability": 0.935,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 28697.48,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Through October 31",
   "probability": 0.83,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume": 1335763.74,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Through November 15",
   "probability": 0.71,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 322.99,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Through November 30",
   "probability": 0.665,
   "change_24h": -0.05,
   "volume": 483860.82,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Through December 31",
   "probability": 0.595,
   "change_24h": -0.035,
   "volume": 907570.5,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Through October 9": [
   [
    1791244829,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1791288034,
    0.9645
   ],
   [
    1791291201,
    0.9645
   ]
  ],
  "Through October 15": [
   [
    1791244825,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1791288030,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1791291441,
    0.935
   ]
  ],
  "Through October 31": [
   [
    1788739235,
    0.705
   ],
   [
    1788782423,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.785
   ],
   [
    1788912026,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1788955225,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1789084823,
    0.73
   ],
   [
    1789128025,
    0.735
   ],
   [
    1789171224,
    0.73
   ],
   [
    1789214425,
    0.74
   ],
   [
    1789257622,
    0.75
   ],
   [
    1789300826,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.77
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.785
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.785
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.785
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1789560029,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1789603221,
    0.775
   ],
   [
    1789646421,
    0.805
   ],
   [
    1789689624,
    0.805
   ],
   [
    1789732825,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1789776026,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1789819226,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1789862425,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1789948821,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.865
   ],
   [
    1790121624,
    0.865
   ],
   [
    1790164834,
    0.855
   ],
   [
    1790208034,
    0.845
   ],
   [
    1790251224,
    0.84
   ],
   [
    1790294427,
    0.845
   ],
   [
    1790337622,
    0.845
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.845
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1790467221,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.845
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.85
   ],
   [
    1790640022,
    0.84
   ],
   [
    1790683225,
    0.84
   ],
   [
    1790726424,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.71
   ],
   [
    1790812826,
    0.79
   ],
   [
    1790856025,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1790899224,
    0.81
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.805
   ],
   [
    1790985627,
    0.805
   ],
   [
    1791028825,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1791072023,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1791115226,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1791158428,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1791201628,
    0.855
   ],
   [
    1791244827,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1791288031,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1791291327,
    0.835
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}