{
 "slug": "how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027",
 "title": "How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027",
 "category": "economy",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00",
 "volume": 68643.48,
 "volume_24h": 1895.63,
 "liquidity": 1291.18,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "5.00%",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.2595,
   "volume": 7347.56,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "4.95%",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.3145,
   "volume": 3214.72,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "4.90%",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.321,
   "volume": 2709.71,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "4.80%",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.0645,
   "volume": 2665.1,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "4.85%",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.0945,
   "volume": 1682.54,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "4.70%",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.2945,
   "volume": 1118.26,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "4.75%",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.3545,
   "volume": 455.71,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "5.10%",
   "probability": 0.81,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 24949.79,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "5.25%",
   "probability": 0.365,
   "change_24h": -0.075,
   "volume": 24500.07,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "5.10%": [
   [
    1788739227,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1788782412,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1788825612,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1788868813,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1788912018,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1788955214,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1788998414,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1789041613,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1789084814,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1789128015,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1789171214,
    0.76
   ],
   [
    1789214414,
    0.805
   ],
   [
    1789257613,
    0.855
   ],
   [
    1789300817,
    0.76
   ],
   [
    1789344012,
    0.785
   ],
   [
    1789387212,
    0.78
   ],
   [
    1789430412,
    0.585
   ],
   [
    1789473612,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1789516813,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1789560012,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1789603212,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1789646412,
    0.67
   ],
   [
    1789689615,
    0.63
   ],
   [
    1789732814,
    0.41
   ],
   [
    1789776015,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1789819215,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1789862415,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1789905612,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1789948812,
    0.66
   ],
   [
    1789992010,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1790035213,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1790078412,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1790121613,
    0.52
   ],
   [
    1790164814,
    0.52
   ],
   [
    1790208025,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1790251213,
    0.8
   ],
   [
    1790294416,
    0.85
   ],
   [
    1790337615,
    0.85
   ],
   [
    1790380815,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1790424014,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1790467214,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1790510413,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1790553628,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1790596814,
    0.78
   ],
   [
    1790640015,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1790683216,
    0.775
   ],
   [
    1790726416,
    0.865
   ],
   [
    1790769616,
    0.855
   ],
   [
    1790812817,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1790856015,
    0.855
   ],
   [
    1790899215,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1790942416,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1790985619,
    0.8
   ],
   [
    1791028815,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1791072016,
    0.81
   ],
   [
    1791115217,
    0.81
   ],
   [
    1791158418,
    0.81
   ],
   [
    1791201616,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1791244817,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1791288019,
    0.865
   ],
   [
    1791291619,
    0.81
   ]
  ],
  "5.25%": [
   [
    1788739227,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1788782412,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788825612,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788868813,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788912018,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788955214,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788998414,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789041613,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789084814,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1789128015,
    0.76
   ],
   [
    1789171214,
    0.71
   ],
   [
    1789214414,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1789257613,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1789300817,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1789344012,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1789387212,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1789430412,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1789473612,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1789516813,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1789560012,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1789603212,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1789646412,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1789689615,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789732814,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789776015,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789819215,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789862415,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789905612,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789948812,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1789992010,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790035213,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790078412,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790121613,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790164814,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790208025,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1790251213,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1790294416,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790337615,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790380815,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1790424014,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1790467214,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1790510413,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1790553628,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1790596814,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1790640015,
    0.48
   ],
   [
    1790683216,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1790726416,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790769616,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790812817,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790856015,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1790899215,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1790942416,
    0.41
   ],
   [
    1790985618,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791028815,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1791072016,
    0.42
   ],
   [
    1791115217,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1791158418,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1791201616,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1791244817,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1791288019,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1791291619,
    0.355
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}