{
 "slug": "fed-decision-in-december",
 "title": "Fed Decision in December?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/fed-decision-in-december/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december-20260729232808632",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-12-10T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 2673035.53,
 "volume_24h": 42506.11,
 "liquidity": 865048.5,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "25 bps increase",
   "probability": 0.745,
   "change_24h": 0.03,
   "volume": 738898.71,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "No change",
   "probability": 0.225,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume": 595517.94,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "50+ bps increase",
   "probability": 0.0295,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 366190.19,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "25 bps decrease",
   "probability": 0.0125,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 532556.78,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "50+ bps decrease",
   "probability": 0.0035,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 439871.89,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "25 bps increase": [
   [
    1788739232,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1788782419,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1788868818,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1788912023,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1788955221,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1789041618,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1789084820,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1789128021,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1789171220,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1789214421,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1789257618,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1789300822,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.57
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1789430415,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1789516816,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1789560023,
    0.585
   ],
   [
    1789603217,
    0.69
   ],
   [
    1789646417,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1789689621,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1789732821,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1789776021,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1789819221,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1789862420,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1789905618,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1789948818,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1790035218,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1790164825,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1790251220,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1790294422,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1790337618,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.69
   ],
   [
    1790467218,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1790510417,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.76
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.77
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1790769620,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.735
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1790899220,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1790985623,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.735
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.735
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.735
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1791244822,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1791291260,
    0.745
   ]
  ],
  "No change": [
   [
    1788739231,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1788782418,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1788825615,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1788868818,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1788912023,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1788955220,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1788998417,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1789041618,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1789084819,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1789128020,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1789171219,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1789214420,
    0.4
   ],
   [
    1789257618,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1789300821,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1789344015,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1789430414,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1789516816,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1789560021,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1789603216,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789646416,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789689620,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1789732820,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1789776020,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789819220,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789862419,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789905617,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789948816,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790035217,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790078416,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790121618,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790164823,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790208029,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790251218,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790294421,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790337617,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790596816,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790683219,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790812820,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790856019,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790899219,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790942418,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791028819,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1791072018,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791115220,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791158422,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791201621,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791244821,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791288024,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791291259,
    0.225
   ]
  ],
  "50+ bps increase": [
   [
    1788739235,
    0.0155
   ],
   [
    1788782424,
    0.0155
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.014
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.014
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.0145
   ],
   [
    1788955225,
    0.0255
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.0255
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.026
   ],
   [
    1789084824,
    0.026
   ],
   [
    1789128026,
    0.0255
   ],
   [
    1789171224,
    0.023
   ],
   [
    1789214426,
    0.022
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.0305
   ],
   [
    1789300826,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.023
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.0155
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.0235
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.0205
   ],
   [
    1789560030,
    0.0225
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.0125
   ],
   [
    1789646421,
    0.016
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.0115
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.0145
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.017
   ],
   [
    1789862425,
    0.0135
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.0175
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.0175
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.018
   ],
   [
    1790121624,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1790164835,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.0205
   ],
   [
    1790251225,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1790294428,
    0.022
   ],
   [
    1790337622,
    0.0225
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.0205
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.028
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.028
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.0305
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.0245
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.022
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.0205
   ],
   [
    1790683225,
    0.0205
   ],
   [
    1790726424,
    0.0155
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.0135
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.0175
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.0145
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.0135
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.0135
   ],
   [
    1790985628,
    0.017
   ],
   [
    1791028826,
    0.017
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.0175
   ],
   [
    1791115226,
    0.0175
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.033
   ],
   [
    1791201629,
    0.034
   ],
   [
    1791244827,
    0.0295
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.0295
   ],
   [
    1791291441,
    0.0295
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/fed-decision-in-december/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/fed-decision-in-december/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}