{
 "slug": "eritrea-invades-ethiopia",
 "title": "Eritrea invades Ethiopia?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/eritrea-invades-ethiopia/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/eritrea-invades-ethiopia-byptptpt",
 "category": "geopolitics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 57049.56,
 "volume_24h": 553.65,
 "liquidity": 22569.21,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.235,
   "change_24h": 0.025,
   "volume": 42765.5,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.1,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume": 14284.06,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "By December 31": [
   [
    1790640016,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790683218,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790726418,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790769617,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790812819,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1790856017,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790899217,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790942417,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790985620,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791028817,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791072017,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791115219,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791158420,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791201619,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791244819,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791288022,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791291739,
    0.235
   ]
  ],
  "By October 31": [
   [
    1790640017,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790683219,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790769618,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790812820,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790856018,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1790899218,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1790942418,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1790985621,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1791028818,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1791072018,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1791115220,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1791158421,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1791201620,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1791244820,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1791288023,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791291739,
    0.1
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/eritrea-invades-ethiopia/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/eritrea-invades-ethiopia/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}