{
 "slug": "ecb-interest-rates-december-2026",
 "title": "ECB Interest Rates: December 2026",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ecb-interest-rates-december-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ecb-interest-rates-december-2026",
 "category": "economy",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-12-17T11:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 31353.11,
 "volume_24h": 116.0,
 "liquidity": 5463.81,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "25 bps increase",
   "probability": 0.745,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 15218.19,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "No change",
   "probability": 0.15,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 8951.36,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "50+ bps increase",
   "probability": 0.019,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 2780.81,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "25 bps decrease",
   "probability": 0.0165,
   "change_24h": 0.008,
   "volume": 2118.43,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "50+ bps decrease",
   "probability": 0.009,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2284.32,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "25 bps increase": [
   [
    1789430414,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1789516816,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1789560021,
    0.6
   ],
   [
    1789603216,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1789646416,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1789689620,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1789732820,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1789776020,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1789819220,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1789862419,
    0.6
   ],
   [
    1789905616,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1789948816,
    0.6
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1790035217,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1790078416,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1790121618,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1790164823,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1790208029,
    0.68
   ],
   [
    1790251218,
    0.66
   ],
   [
    1790294421,
    0.65
   ],
   [
    1790337617,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1790380817,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1790424016,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1790596816,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1790683219,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1790769618,
    0.82
   ],
   [
    1790812820,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1790856019,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1790899218,
    0.81
   ],
   [
    1790942418,
    0.75
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.75
   ],
   [
    1791028819,
    0.75
   ],
   [
    1791072018,
    0.75
   ],
   [
    1791115220,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1791158422,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1791201621,
    0.74
   ],
   [
    1791244821,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1791288024,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1791292694,
    0.745
   ]
  ],
  "No change": [
   [
    1789430415,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789473616,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1789560023,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1789603218,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789646417,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1789689621,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1789732821,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1789776022,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1789819222,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1789862421,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789905618,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1789948818,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1790035218,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790078418,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790121620,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790164826,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790208031,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790251220,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790294423,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790337618,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1790467218,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1790510417,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790640019,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790769620,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790812822,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790856021,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790899220,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790942420,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790985623,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791028821,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791115222,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791158424,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791201623,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791244822,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791288026,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791292694,
    0.15
   ]
  ],
  "50+ bps increase": [
   [
    1789430414,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789473614,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789516815,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789560020,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789603216,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789646415,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789689619,
    0.0205
   ],
   [
    1789732819,
    0.0605
   ],
   [
    1789776019,
    0.0585
   ],
   [
    1789819219,
    0.0515
   ],
   [
    1789862419,
    0.0495
   ],
   [
    1789905616,
    0.0515
   ],
   [
    1789948816,
    0.0445
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1790035216,
    0.0515
   ],
   [
    1790078416,
    0.0485
   ],
   [
    1790121617,
    0.0515
   ],
   [
    1790164821,
    0.0505
   ],
   [
    1790208028,
    0.026
   ],
   [
    1790251217,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1790294420,
    0.015
   ],
   [
    1790337616,
    0.012
   ],
   [
    1790380817,
    0.0095
   ],
   [
    1790424016,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1790467216,
    0.0025
   ],
   [
    1790510415,
    0.0025
   ],
   [
    1790553630,
    0.0025
   ],
   [
    1790596816,
    0.005
   ],
   [
    1790640017,
    0.0175
   ],
   [
    1790683219,
    0.0165
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.0165
   ],
   [
    1790769618,
    0.0165
   ],
   [
    1790812820,
    0.018
   ],
   [
    1790856018,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1790899218,
    0.0195
   ],
   [
    1790942418,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1790985621,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1791028818,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1791072018,
    0.0195
   ],
   [
    1791115220,
    0.0195
   ],
   [
    1791158421,
    0.0195
   ],
   [
    1791201620,
    0.0195
   ],
   [
    1791244820,
    0.0195
   ],
   [
    1791288023,
    0.0195
   ],
   [
    1791292693,
    0.019
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ecb-interest-rates-december-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ecb-interest-rates-december-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
