{
 "slug": "democratic-nomination-odds-leader-on-october-31",
 "title": "Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/democratic-nomination-odds-leader-on-october-31/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-nomination-odds-leader-on-october-31",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00",
 "volume": 36003.1,
 "volume_24h": 681.02,
 "liquidity": 87943.14,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Jon Ossoff",
   "probability": 0.475,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 14947.86,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez",
   "probability": 0.315,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume": 9724.83,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Gavin Newsom",
   "probability": 0.21,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume": 8603.12,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Kamala Harris",
   "probability": 0.006,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 1621.13,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Josh Shapiro",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1106.17,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Jon Ossoff": [
   [
    1790121618,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790164823,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1790208029,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790294421,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790337617,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1790596816,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1790683219,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1790856019,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790899219,
    0.57
   ],
   [
    1790942418,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1791028819,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1791072018,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1791115220,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1791158422,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1791201621,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1791244821,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1791288024,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1791291739,
    0.475
   ]
  ],
  "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez": [
   [
    1790121626,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790164837,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1790208036,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1790251226,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1790294429,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1790337623,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1790380823,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1790424022,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1790467223,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1790510423,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1790596822,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1790640024,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1790683227,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1790769625,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1790812828,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1790856027,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790899226,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1790942425,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1790985630,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1791028827,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791072025,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791115228,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791158430,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791201630,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1791244829,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1791288033,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791291742,
    0.315
   ]
  ],
  "Gavin Newsom": [
   [
    1790121619,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790164825,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790294422,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790337618,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790510417,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790899219,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791244821,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791291740,
    0.21
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/democratic-nomination-odds-leader-on-october-31/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/democratic-nomination-odds-leader-on-october-31/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
