{
 "slug": "chatbot-arena-how-high-will-ai-score-by-december-31",
 "title": "Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/chatbot-arena-how-high-will-ai-score-by-december-31/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/chatbot-arena-how-high-will-ai-score-by-december-31",
 "category": "tech",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 222934.36,
 "volume_24h": 434.73,
 "liquidity": 3907.19,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "↑ 1520",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 61261.5,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 1500",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.0475,
   "volume": 33754.78,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 1530",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.6645,
   "volume": 18993.06,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 1510",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.1445,
   "volume": 2903.67,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 1540",
   "probability": 0.3915,
   "change_24h": 0.025,
   "volume": 6845.1,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 1550",
   "probability": 0.235,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume": 54110.09,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 1600",
   "probability": 0.0365,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 26546.77,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 1650",
   "probability": 0.03,
   "change_24h": 0.0015,
   "volume": 9277.08,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 1700",
   "probability": 0.029,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 9242.31,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "↑ 1540": [
   [
    1788739230,
    0.2205
   ],
   [
    1788782416,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1788825614,
    0.228
   ],
   [
    1788868817,
    0.202
   ],
   [
    1788912021,
    0.1965
   ],
   [
    1788955218,
    0.1955
   ],
   [
    1788998417,
    0.1955
   ],
   [
    1789041616,
    0.1955
   ],
   [
    1789084817,
    0.3645
   ],
   [
    1789128018,
    0.247
   ],
   [
    1789171217,
    0.229
   ],
   [
    1789214418,
    0.227
   ],
   [
    1789257616,
    0.211
   ],
   [
    1789300820,
    0.209
   ],
   [
    1789344014,
    0.1935
   ],
   [
    1789387213,
    0.1905
   ],
   [
    1789430413,
    0.1905
   ],
   [
    1789473614,
    0.174
   ],
   [
    1789516815,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1789560018,
    0.218
   ],
   [
    1789603215,
    0.2235
   ],
   [
    1789646415,
    0.2255
   ],
   [
    1789689618,
    0.1655
   ],
   [
    1789732818,
    0.2185
   ],
   [
    1789776018,
    0.2345
   ],
   [
    1789819218,
    0.2675
   ],
   [
    1789862418,
    0.2165
   ],
   [
    1789905615,
    0.1815
   ],
   [
    1789948815,
    0.2115
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.1835
   ],
   [
    1790035215,
    0.201
   ],
   [
    1790078415,
    0.191
   ],
   [
    1790121616,
    0.176
   ],
   [
    1790164820,
    0.153
   ],
   [
    1790208028,
    0.137
   ],
   [
    1790251217,
    0.134
   ],
   [
    1790294419,
    0.134
   ],
   [
    1790337616,
    0.134
   ],
   [
    1790380816,
    0.134
   ],
   [
    1790424015,
    0.178
   ],
   [
    1790467215,
    0.169
   ],
   [
    1790510415,
    0.151
   ],
   [
    1790553630,
    0.1615
   ],
   [
    1790596815,
    0.188
   ],
   [
    1790640017,
    0.1615
   ],
   [
    1790683218,
    0.1885
   ],
   [
    1790726418,
    0.1875
   ],
   [
    1790769617,
    0.1895
   ],
   [
    1790812819,
    0.4095
   ],
   [
    1790856018,
    0.3795
   ],
   [
    1790899217,
    0.474
   ],
   [
    1790942417,
    0.486
   ],
   [
    1790985621,
    0.471
   ],
   [
    1791028818,
    0.426
   ],
   [
    1791072017,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1791115219,
    0.3725
   ],
   [
    1791158421,
    0.3605
   ],
   [
    1791201619,
    0.366
   ],
   [
    1791244819,
    0.3615
   ],
   [
    1791288022,
    0.3915
   ],
   [
    1791291620,
    0.3915
   ]
  ],
  "↑ 1550": [
   [
    1788739236,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1788782424,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1788955225,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789084824,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1789128026,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1789171224,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1789214426,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789560031,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789646422,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789862426,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790121625,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790164835,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790251225,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790294428,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790337623,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790683226,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790985628,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791028826,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791115227,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791201629,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791244828,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791291625,
    0.235
   ]
  ],
  "↑ 1600": [
   [
    1788739232,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1788782418,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1788825615,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1788868818,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1788912023,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1788955220,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789041618,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789084819,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789128021,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789171219,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789214420,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789257618,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789300822,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789430415,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1789516816,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1789560022,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1789603217,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1789646417,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1789689620,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789732820,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789776021,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789819221,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789862420,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789905617,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789948817,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1790035217,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1790164824,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1790294422,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1790337618,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.0365
   ],
   [
    1790899219,
    0.0365
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.037
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1791244821,
    0.0365
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.0365
   ],
   [
    1791291621,
    0.0365
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/chatbot-arena-how-high-will-ai-score-by-december-31/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/chatbot-arena-how-high-will-ai-score-by-december-31/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
