{
 "slug": "bitcoin-vs-gold-vs-sp-500-in-2026",
 "title": "Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/bitcoin-vs-gold-vs-sp-500-in-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-vs-gold-vs-sp-500-in-2026",
 "category": "economy",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 939601.19,
 "volume_24h": 361.85,
 "liquidity": 84171.54,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "S&P 500",
   "probability": 0.615,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 199618.1,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Bitcoin",
   "probability": 0.215,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 453330.49,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Gold",
   "probability": 0.12,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 286652.6,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "S&P 500": [
   [
    1788739232,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1788782418,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1788868818,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1788912023,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1788955220,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789041618,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789084820,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789128021,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789171220,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789214421,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789257618,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789300822,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1789430415,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789516816,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789560022,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789603217,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789646417,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789689621,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789732821,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789776021,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789819221,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789862420,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789905617,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789948817,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790035218,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790164825,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790294422,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790337618,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1790510417,
    0.56
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.57
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1790899219,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1790985623,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1791244822,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1791292100,
    0.615
   ]
  ],
  "Bitcoin": [
   [
    1788739232,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788782419,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788868818,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1788912023,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788955221,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1789041618,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789084820,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789128021,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1789171220,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1789214421,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1789257618,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789300822,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789430415,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1789516816,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1789560023,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1789603217,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789646417,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789689621,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789732821,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789776021,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1789819221,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1789862420,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1789905618,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1789948818,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790035218,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1790164825,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790251220,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790294422,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790337618,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790467218,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790510417,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790769620,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790899220,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790985623,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791244822,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791292100,
    0.215
   ]
  ],
  "Gold": [
   [
    1788739236,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788782426,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788868822,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788912028,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788998422,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789041623,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789084825,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789128027,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789171225,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789214427,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789257624,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1789300828,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789473620,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1789516820,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1789560033,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1789603223,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1789646423,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1789689626,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1789776028,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1789819229,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1789862427,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1789905624,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1789948823,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1789992018,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790121626,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790164838,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790208036,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1790251226,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790294430,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790337624,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790380823,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790424022,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790467223,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790510423,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790553637,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790596822,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790640024,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790683227,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790726426,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790769626,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790812828,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790856027,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790899226,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790942425,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790985630,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791028828,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791072025,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791115228,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791158431,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791201631,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791244829,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791288034,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791292103,
    0.12
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/bitcoin-vs-gold-vs-sp-500-in-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/bitcoin-vs-gold-vs-sp-500-in-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}