{
 "slug": "avgpt-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-september",
 "title": "Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-september/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-september",
 "category": "geopolitics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 59708.2,
 "volume_24h": 1265.6,
 "liquidity": 44036.99,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "25-29",
   "probability": 0.9815,
   "change_24h": 0.0665,
   "volume": 20563.14,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "30-34",
   "probability": 0.015,
   "change_24h": -0.0385,
   "volume": 7720.21,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "<25",
   "probability": 0.007,
   "change_24h": -0.019,
   "volume": 21153.03,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "35-39",
   "probability": 0.007,
   "change_24h": -0.0045,
   "volume": 6079.25,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "40+",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": -0.019,
   "volume": 4192.56,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "25-29": [
   [
    1788739231,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788782418,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788825615,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788868818,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1788912023,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1788955220,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1789041618,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1789084819,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1789128021,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1789171219,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1789214420,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1789257618,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1789300822,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789430414,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1789516816,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1789560022,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1789603217,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1789646416,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1789689620,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1789732820,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1789776020,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1789819221,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1789862420,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1789905617,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1789948817,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.65
   ],
   [
    1790035217,
    0.65
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.67
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1790164824,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1790294422,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1790337617,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.635
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.895
   ],
   [
    1790856019,
    0.955
   ],
   [
    1790899219,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.91
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.92
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.939
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.9395
   ],
   [
    1791158422,
    0.9435
   ],
   [
    1791201621,
    0.941
   ],
   [
    1791244821,
    0.92
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.915
   ],
   [
    1791292340,
    0.9885
   ]
  ],
  "30-34": [
   [
    1788739231,
    0.0965
   ],
   [
    1788782418,
    0.0975
   ],
   [
    1788825615,
    0.1215
   ],
   [
    1788868818,
    0.0775
   ],
   [
    1788912023,
    0.0775
   ],
   [
    1788955220,
    0.082
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789041618,
    0.047
   ],
   [
    1789084819,
    0.0335
   ],
   [
    1789128020,
    0.0145
   ],
   [
    1789171219,
    0.024
   ],
   [
    1789214420,
    0.015
   ],
   [
    1789257618,
    0.016
   ],
   [
    1789300821,
    0.0215
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.0335
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.038
   ],
   [
    1789430414,
    0.03
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.0275
   ],
   [
    1789516816,
    0.0405
   ],
   [
    1789560022,
    0.0345
   ],
   [
    1789603217,
    0.048
   ],
   [
    1789646416,
    0.0485
   ],
   [
    1789689620,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1789732820,
    0.0245
   ],
   [
    1789776020,
    0.0155
   ],
   [
    1789819220,
    0.0125
   ],
   [
    1789862420,
    0.049
   ],
   [
    1789905617,
    0.0435
   ],
   [
    1789948817,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.2125
   ],
   [
    1790035217,
    0.1115
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.093
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.0795
   ],
   [
    1790164824,
    0.054
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.0475
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.052
   ],
   [
    1790294421,
    0.1025
   ],
   [
    1790337617,
    0.0965
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.0765
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.034
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.0495
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.0835
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.0555
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.0535
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.0205
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.049
   ],
   [
    1790856019,
    0.0245
   ],
   [
    1790899219,
    0.0185
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.0275
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.062
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.036
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.0365
   ],
   [
    1791158422,
    0.046
   ],
   [
    1791201621,
    0.036
   ],
   [
    1791244821,
    0.0575
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.0475
   ],
   [
    1791292340,
    0.0065
   ]
  ],
  "<25": [
   [
    1788739232,
    0.4705
   ],
   [
    1788782419,
    0.472
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.4705
   ],
   [
    1788868818,
    0.469
   ],
   [
    1788912023,
    0.4695
   ],
   [
    1788955221,
    0.4665
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.502
   ],
   [
    1789041618,
    0.496
   ],
   [
    1789084820,
    0.4875
   ],
   [
    1789128021,
    0.5075
   ],
   [
    1789171220,
    0.5685
   ],
   [
    1789214421,
    0.5815
   ],
   [
    1789257619,
    0.571
   ],
   [
    1789300822,
    0.5755
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.5685
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.572
   ],
   [
    1789430415,
    0.6855
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.7025
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.6945
   ],
   [
    1789560023,
    0.702
   ],
   [
    1789603218,
    0.6435
   ],
   [
    1789646417,
    0.592
   ],
   [
    1789689621,
    0.591
   ],
   [
    1789732821,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1789776021,
    0.5745
   ],
   [
    1789819221,
    0.568
   ],
   [
    1789862421,
    0.5115
   ],
   [
    1789905618,
    0.4135
   ],
   [
    1789948818,
    0.1455
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.083
   ],
   [
    1790035218,
    0.1135
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.1125
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.3095
   ],
   [
    1790164826,
    0.4175
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.4225
   ],
   [
    1790251220,
    0.3735
   ],
   [
    1790294422,
    0.3735
   ],
   [
    1790337618,
    0.3865
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.396
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.42
   ],
   [
    1790467218,
    0.4355
   ],
   [
    1790510417,
    0.443
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.4425
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.4445
   ],
   [
    1790640019,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.189
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.158
   ],
   [
    1790769620,
    0.0635
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.049
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1790899220,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1790985623,
    0.004
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.026
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.033
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.032
   ],
   [
    1791244822,
    0.0135
   ],
   [
    1791288026,
    0.0135
   ],
   [
    1791292340,
    0.0045
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-september/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-september/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
